Dallen Bentley
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
NFL player prop SEA Settled: Hit
Receptions
You checked 4.5, an alternate line. Most books: 6.5.
Over 4.5 receptions
5 of 5 decided (100%) · last 5 games
Price as of Oct 15, 8:10 PM ET −560 at Caesars
Verified facts
Jaxon Smith-Njigba hit over 4.5 receptions in 5 of his last 5 tracked games (100%).
Showing saved research.
Final: 12.
Closing price not available. Pregame evidence: hit 5 of 5 (100%) in the last 5.
| Date | Opponent | Line | Closing price | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 8:15 PM ET | Denver Broncos | 4.5 | −560 | hit |
| Oct 4, 4:25 PM ET | Los Angeles Chargers | 4.5 | −600 | hit |
5of5
(100%)
Sep 9 – Oct 11
Receptions per game, oldest to newest
7.4vs 4.5 line
Based on 5 games
Jaxon Smith-Njigba receptions over the last 5 games versus a line of 4.5.
| Date | Opponent | Result | Receptions |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11 | vsSF | Hit | 5 |
| Oct 4 | vsLAC | Hit | 5 |
| Sep 27 | @WAS | Hit | 10 |
| Sep 20 | @ARI | Hit | 9 |
| Sep 9 | vsNE | Hit | 8 |
Closing price: Caesars −560 · 110¢ better than BetRivers
Prices as of Oct 15, 8:10 PM ET. Compare prices at the book.
Game context
Jaxon Smith-Njigba: 8.2 receptions average (6 tracked games).
This game has started. The team stats below are the latest stored season totals, not a snapshot of what was known before kickoff. Any saved WagerLens Read above keeps its original capture time.
2026 season · 6 games
3–3
Record
24.7
Points / game
20.3
Allowed / game
2026 season · 6 games
4–2
Record
19
Points / game
20.8
Allowed / game
These recorded prices are shown for research only.
Open
−500
Current
−560
Change
−60
Best available moved from −500 to −560. That's a worse payout. The move still doesn't tell you whether Over is worth backing.
Pregame research captured
No game report passed the current research checks. Injury statuses below are separate reports, not a news summary.
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
Dallen Bentley
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Jordan Jackson
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
Avery Smith
Reported context: Secondary depth is affected; coverage changes are not confirmed.
Brandon Pili
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
Jaxon Smith-Njigba hit over 4.5 receptions in 5 of his last 5 tracked games (100%).
Jaxon Smith-Njigba hit over 4.5 receptions in 5 of 5 games across the last 5 games (100% hit rate).
−560 at Caesars is the best price attached to this check for Jaxon Smith-Njigba Over 4.5 receptions right now. Prices move quickly, so compare the available books and confirm the number before betting.
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 8:15 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.