Cam Skattebo
out
Reported context: Backfield depth is affected; replacement touches are not confirmed.
NFL player prop NYG Pending
Isaiah Likely Over 4.5 Receptions vs. Commanders
The bet: Over 4.5 receptions
WAS@NYG Nov 12, 8:15 PM ET
Cleared 4.5 in 5 of his last 7
Last 7 gamesSep 21 to Nov 8L7 average 5.4
Oldest to newest
Past results, not a forecast.
Showing saved research.
All games and results for this betHit rate vs the line
5of7
(71%)
Sep 21 – Nov 8
- 5
- 2
- 7
- 11
- 6
- 2
- 5
Receptions per game, oldest to newest
L7 average
5.4vs 4.5 line
Based on 7 games
Game results
Isaiah Likely receptions over the last 7 games versus a line of 4.5.
Results versus the line
HitMissLine 4.5
Game log · L7, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Result | Receptions |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @PHI | Hit | 5 |
| Oct 25 | @HOU | Miss | 2 |
| Oct 18 | vsNO | Hit | 6 |
| Oct 11 | @WAS | Hit | 11 |
| Oct 4 | vsARI | Hit | 7 |
| Sep 27 | vsTEN | Miss | 2 |
| Sep 21 | @LA | Hit | 5 |
Matchup and team comparison
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
Isaiah Likely
- Receptions per game
- 5.8
Season · 8 games
Isaiah Likely
LIKELY · TEAM TARGET SHARE
26.5%of team targets
2026 regular season8 games
Washington Commanders
WAS allows
6.1rec allowed/game to TEs
8th most (L4: 4th most)8 games
Game
Rest
4days rest, both teams
NYG 4, WAS 4Divisional game
Market movement
Price history
Over 4.5 receptions
Best priceWhat's the vig on this price?
Odds format
Open
−122
Current
−120
Change
+2
Best available moved from −122 to −120. That pays $1.36 more on a $100 bet than at open.
News and availability
Availability and reports
The latest saved updates may be out of date.
Research refreshed
Latest sourced reports
- JJ McCarthy collapses in pain on a practice throw after taking huge hit (opens in a new tab)
New York Giants quarterback JJ McCarthy collapsed in pain on a practice throw after taking a huge hit during Sunday's game.
New York Giants quarterback JJ McCarthy collapsed in pain on a practice throw after taking a huge hit during Sunday's game.
larrybrownsports.com · · Availability report
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
New York Giants
Abdul Carter
questionable
Reported context: Participation is unresolved. Do not count this player as ruled out.
Washington Commanders
Colson Yankoff
out
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Dyami Brown
out
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Related checks
Keep researching
Frequently asked
What does the data say about Isaiah Likely Over 4.5 receptions at this number?
What is the historical hit rate for Isaiah Likely Over 4.5 receptions?
Isaiah Likely hit over 4.5 receptions in 5 of 7 games across the last 7 games (71% hit rate).
What is the best price for Isaiah Likely Over 4.5 receptions?
When does this bet resolve?
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 8:15 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.