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Christian Watson Over 2.5 Receptions
The bet: Over 2.5 receptions
You checked 2.5, an alternate line. Most books: 4.5.
Cleared 2.5 in 7 of his last 7
Last 7 gamesSep 20 to Oct 29L7 average 5.1
Oldest to newest
Past results, not a forecast.
Odds and past results
Best price now −675 at Caesars, as of Nov 5, 11:54 AM ET · 6 books quoting · Updating prices...
Opened −1100 at FanDuel, now −675
7 of 7 decided (100%) · last 7 games
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Verified facts
Christian Watson hit over 2.5 receptions in 7 of his last 7 tracked games (100%).
- Passes thrown his way
- 7.4 per game
- Last 5 games. Season: 8.2 per game over 8 games (including these 5).
- Average catches
- 5 per game
- Last 5 games; the line is 2.5.
The opponent: New England Patriots allowed 12 catches per game to opposing wide receivers combined across 8 games. That is a group total, not a forecast for one player.
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Past games
| Date | Opponent | Line | Actual | Closing price | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 8:15 PM ET | Carolina Panthers | Over 2.5 receptions | 8 receptions | −770 | hit |
Hit rate vs the line
7of7
(100%)
Sep 20 – Oct 29
- 4
- 7
- 3
- 6
- 3
- 5
- 8
Receptions per game, oldest to newest
L7 average
5.1vs 2.5 line
Based on 7 games
Game results
Christian Watson receptions over the last 7 games versus a line of 2.5.
Results versus the line
Game log · L7, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Result | Receptions |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29 | vsCAR | Hit | 8 |
| Oct 25 | @DET | Hit | 5 |
| Oct 18 | vsDAL | Hit | 3 |
| Oct 11 | vsCHI | Hit | 6 |
| Oct 4 | @TB | Hit | 3 |
| Sep 24 | vsATL | Hit | 7 |
| Sep 20 | @NYJ | Hit | 4 |
Sportsbooks
Best price now: Caesars −675 · 425¢ better than FanDuel
Prices as of Nov 5, 11:54 AM ET. Compare prices at the book.
Matchup and team comparison
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
Christian Watson
- Receptions per game
- 5.2
Season · 8 games
Christian Watson
WATSON · TEAM TARGET SHARE
21.9%of team targets
2026 regular season · 8 games
New England Patriots
NE allows
12.0rec allowed/game to WRs
T-13th most (L4: T-16th most) · 8 games
Game
Rest
+3days rest, GB
GB 10, NE 7
Market movement
Price history
Open
−1100
Current
−675
Change
+425
Best available moved from −1100 to −675. That pays $5.72 more on a $100 bet than at open.
News and availability
Matchup updates
News check is unavailable right now.
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Frequently asked
What does the data say about Christian Watson Over 2.5 receptions at this number?
Christian Watson hit over 2.5 receptions in 7 of his last 7 tracked games (100%). Best price is −675 at Caesars.
What is the historical hit rate for Christian Watson Over 2.5 receptions?
Christian Watson hit over 2.5 receptions in 7 of 7 games across the last 7 games (100% hit rate).
What is the best price for Christian Watson Over 2.5 receptions?
−675 at Caesars is the best price attached to this check for Christian Watson Over 2.5 receptions right now. Prices move quickly, so compare the available books and confirm the number before betting.
When does this bet resolve?
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 4:25 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.