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NFL player prop MIN Settled: Miss

Aaron Jones Over 7.5 Receptions vs. Saints

The bet: Over 7.5 receptions

You checked 7.5, an alternate line. Most books: 2.5.

MIN@NO Oct 11, 1:00 PM ET

Cleared 7.5 in 0 of his last 4

0of4(0%)

Last 4 gamesSep 13 to Oct 4L4 average 2.3

Oldest to newest

Past results, not a forecast.

Showing saved research.

Settled: Over 7.5 receptions lost.

Final: 3.

All games and results for this bet

Hit rate vs the line

0of4

(0%)

Sep 13 – Oct 4

  1. 0
  2. 0
  3. 5
  4. 4

Receptions per game, oldest to newest

L4 average

2.3vs 7.5 line

Based on 4 games

Game results

Aaron Jones receptions over the last 4 games versus a line of 7.5.

Results versus the line

L4
HitMissLine 7.5
Game log · L4, newest first
DateOpponentResultReceptions
Oct 4vsMIA
Miss
4
Sep 27@TB
Miss
5
Sep 20@CHI
Miss
0
Sep 13vsGB
Miss
0

What the data showed before the game

Matchup and team comparison

Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.

This game has started. The team stats below are the latest stored season totals, not a snapshot of what was known before kickoff. Any saved WagerLens Read above keeps its original capture time.

Team comparison

Minnesota Vikings

Your selection

2026 season · 6 games

6–0

Record

20.8

Points / game

12.3

Allowed / game

New Orleans Saints

2026 season · 7 games

2–5

Record

23.1

Points / game

27.7

Allowed / game

Market movement

News and availability

Availability and reports

Pregame research captured

Latest sourced reports

These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.

New Orleans Saints

Anfernee Jennings

out

Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.

ESPN report (opens in a new tab) ·

Jeremiah Wright

out

Reported context: Blocking personnel are affected; the size of the matchup impact is unknown.

ESPN report (opens in a new tab) ·

Minnesota Vikings

Christian Darrisaw

out

Reported context: Blocking personnel are affected; the size of the matchup impact is unknown.

ESPN report (opens in a new tab) ·

Keep researching

Frequently asked

What does the data say about Aaron Jones Over 7.5 receptions at this number?

Aaron Jones hit over 7.5 receptions in 0 of his last 4 tracked games (0%). Last seen is +2500 at DraftKings.

What is the historical hit rate for Aaron Jones Over 7.5 receptions?

Aaron Jones hit over 7.5 receptions in 0 of 4 games across this season (4 games) (0% hit rate).

What is the closing price for Aaron Jones Over 7.5 receptions?

+2500 at DraftKings was the recorded closing price for Aaron Jones Over 7.5 receptions.

When does this bet resolve?

Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 1:00 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.

How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?

We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.

Research, not a pick.

We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.

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