Brett Thorson
Reported context: Roster availability is affected; the replacement role is not confirmed.
NFL player prop MIN Settled: Hit
Receptions
Over 3.5 receptions
1 of 3 decided (33%) · last 3 games
Price as of Oct 4, 4:01 PM ET +130 at theScore Bet
Limited sample: 3 decided games. Historical results are not a win probability.
Verified facts
Aaron Jones hit over 3.5 receptions in 1 of his last 3 tracked games (33%).
Showing saved research.
Final: 4.
Closing price +130 at DraftKings. Pregame evidence: hit 1 of 1 (100%) in the last 1.
1of3
(33%)
Sep 13 – Sep 27
Receptions per game, oldest to newest
1.7vs 3.5 line
Based on 3 games
Aaron Jones receptions over the last 3 games versus a line of 3.5.
| Date | Opponent | Result | Receptions |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27 | @TB | Hit | 5 |
| Sep 20 | @CHI | Miss | 0 |
| Sep 13 | vsGB | Miss | 0 |
Closing price: theScore Bet +130 · 20¢ better than BetMGM
Prices as of Oct 4, 4:01 PM ET. Compare prices at the book.
Game context
Aaron Jones: 2.4 receptions average (5 tracked games).
This game has started. The team stats below are the latest stored season totals, not a snapshot of what was known before kickoff. Any saved WagerLens Read above keeps its original capture time.
2026 season · 5 games
0–5
Record
14
Points / game
26.4
Allowed / game
2026 season · 5 games
5–0
Record
21.8
Points / game
12.8
Allowed / game
These recorded prices are shown for research only.
Open
+151
Current
+130
Change
−21
Best available moved from +151 to +130. That's a worse payout. The move still doesn't tell you whether Over is worth backing.
Pregame research captured
No game report passed the current research checks. Injury statuses below are separate reports, not a news summary.
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
Brett Thorson
Reported context: Roster availability is affected; the replacement role is not confirmed.
Charles Demmings
Reported context: Secondary depth is affected; coverage changes are not confirmed.
Brady Cook
Reported context: Quarterback availability affects the offense; replacement performance is not assumed.
Caleb Douglas
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Aaron Jones hit over 3.5 receptions in 1 of his last 3 tracked games (33%).
Aaron Jones hit over 3.5 receptions in 1 of 3 games across the last 3 games (33% hit rate).
+130 at theScore Bet is the best price attached to this check for Aaron Jones Over 3.5 receptions right now. Prices move quickly, so compare the available books and confirm the number before betting.
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 4:05 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.