Bill Murray
Reported context: Blocking personnel are affected; the size of the matchup impact is unknown.
NFL player prop BUF Settled: Hit
Receiving Yards
You checked 12.5, an alternate line. Most books: 11.5.
Under 12.5 receiving yards
3 of 4 decided (75%) · this season
Price as of Oct 12, 8:10 PM ET −113 at FanDuel
Limited sample: 4 decided games. Historical results are not a win probability.
Verified facts
Dawson Knox hit under 12.5 receiving yards in 3 of his last 4 tracked games (75%).
Showing saved research.
Final: 6.
Closing price not available. Pregame evidence: hit 2 of 3 (67%) in the last 3.
3of4
(75%)
Sep 13 – Oct 4
Receiving Yards per game, oldest to newest
7.5vs 12.5 line
Based on 4 games
Dawson Knox receiving yards over the last 4 games versus a line of 12.5.
| Date | Opponent | Result | Receiving Yards |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4 | vsNE | Miss | 13 |
| Sep 27 | vsLAC | Hit | 5 |
| Sep 17 | vsDET | Hit | 5 |
| Sep 13 | @HOU | Hit | 7 |
Closing price: FanDuel −113
Prices as of Oct 12, 8:10 PM ET. Compare prices at the book.
Game context
Dawson Knox: 6 receiving yards average (6 tracked games).
This game has started. The team stats below are the latest stored season totals, not a snapshot of what was known before kickoff. Any saved WagerLens Read above keeps its original capture time.
2026 season · 6 games
5–1
Record
32.8
Points / game
28.5
Allowed / game
2026 season · 6 games
2–4
Record
22.5
Points / game
23
Allowed / game
These recorded prices are shown for research only.
Open
−118
Current
−110
Change
+8
Best available moved from −118 to −110. That's a better payout, not a stronger case for Under.
Pregame research captured
Aaron Donald thinks he'll play for Rams vs Bills after a short injury setback in his comeback
Aaron Donald thinks he'll play for Rams vs Bills after a short injury setback in his comeback
abcnews.com · · Availability report
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
Bill Murray
Reported context: Blocking personnel are affected; the size of the matchup impact is unknown.
CJ Daniels
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Ar'maj Reed-Adams
Reported context: Blocking personnel are affected; the size of the matchup impact is unknown.
DJ Moore
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Dawson Knox hit under 12.5 receiving yards in 3 of his last 4 tracked games (75%).
Dawson Knox hit under 12.5 receiving yards in 3 of 4 games across this season (4 games) (75% hit rate).
−113 at FanDuel is the best price attached to this check for Dawson Knox Under 12.5 receiving yards right now. Prices move quickly, so compare the available books and confirm the number before betting.
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 8:15 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.