Joe Alt
Reported context: Blocking personnel are affected; the size of the matchup impact is unknown.
NFL player prop DEN Settled: Hit
Receiving Yards
You checked 35.5, an alternate line. Most books: 38.5.
Under 35.5 receiving yards
3 of 4 decided (75%) · this season
Price as of Oct 11, 3:33 PM ET −110 at Fanatics
Limited sample: 4 decided games. Historical results are not a win probability.
Verified facts
Courtland Sutton hit under 35.5 receiving yards in 3 of his last 4 tracked games (75%).
Showing saved research.
Final: 18.
Closing price −110 at Fanatics. Pregame evidence: hit 2 of 3 (67%) in the last 3.
| Date | Opponent | Line | Closing price | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 4:05 PM ET | Los Angeles Chargers | 35.5 | −110 | hit |
3of4
(75%)
Sep 14 – Oct 4
Receiving Yards per game, oldest to newest
21.5vs 35.5 line
Based on 4 games
Courtland Sutton receiving yards over the last 4 games versus a line of 35.5.
| Date | Opponent | Result | Receiving Yards |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4 | @SF | Hit | 4 |
| Sep 27 | vsLA | Miss | 46 |
| Sep 20 | vsJAX | Hit | 25 |
| Sep 14 | @KC | Hit | 11 |
Closing price: Fanatics −110
Prices as of Oct 11, 3:33 PM ET. Compare prices at the book.
Game context
Courtland Sutton: 20.5 receiving yards average (6 tracked games).
This game has started. The team stats below are the latest stored season totals, not a snapshot of what was known before kickoff. Any saved WagerLens Read above keeps its original capture time.
2026 season · 6 games
4–2
Record
19
Points / game
20.8
Allowed / game
2026 season · 6 games
0–6
Record
15
Points / game
25.2
Allowed / game
These recorded prices are shown for research only.
Open
−113
Current
−109
Change
+4
Best available moved from −113 to −109. That's a better payout, not a stronger case for Under.
Pregame research captured
Los Angeles Chargers
Rodney Shelley
CB · Hamstring ·
Brenen Thompson
WR · Quadriceps ·
Quentin Johnston
WR · Chest ·
Donte Jackson
CB · Hamstring ·
Derwin James Jr.
S · Hamstring ·
Denver Broncos
Sam Ehlinger
QB · Coach's Decision ·
Pat Surtain II
CB · Ankle ·
Riley Moss
CB · Ribs ·
Tyler Onyedim
DT · Coach's Decision ·
Jordan Jackson
DT · Coach's Decision ·
ESPN game data (opens in a new tab) ·
ESPN snapshot
Model snapshot
Denver Broncos by 0.1
ESPN model source (opens in a new tab)Success of Broncos' play-calling shake-up hinges on QB Bo Nix letting it fly
The Denver Broncos are making a needed play-calling change, but it won't work until starting quarterback Bo Nix begins ripping it.
yardbarker.com · · Matchup report
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
Joe Alt
Reported context: Blocking personnel are affected; the size of the matchup impact is unknown.
Kayode Awosika
Reported context: Blocking personnel are affected; the size of the matchup impact is unknown.
Dallen Bentley
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Kage Casey
Reported context: Blocking personnel are affected; the size of the matchup impact is unknown.
Courtland Sutton hit under 35.5 receiving yards in 3 of his last 4 tracked games (75%).
Courtland Sutton hit under 35.5 receiving yards in 3 of 4 games across this season (4 games) (75% hit rate).
−110 at Fanatics is the best price attached to this check for Courtland Sutton Under 35.5 receiving yards right now. Prices move quickly, so compare the available books and confirm the number before betting.
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 4:05 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.