Carter Runyon
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
NFL player prop LV Pending
Today's check
The bet: Over 38.5 receiving yards
You checked 38.5, an alternate line. Most books: 40.5.
Price as of Oct 24, 10:13 PM ET −115 at BetMGM · Updating prices...
Opened −112 at DraftKings, last seen −115
5 of 6 decided (83%) · this season
Verified facts
Tre Tucker averaged 68.8 receiving yards across 5 stored games, above the 38.5 line. He had 6.2 passes thrown his way per game. These are past results, not a forecast.
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The opponent: Los Angeles Rams allowed 103.5 receiving yards per game to opposing wide receivers combined across 6 games. That is a group total, not a forecast for one player.
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5of6
(83%)
Sep 13 – Oct 18
Receiving Yards per game, oldest to newest
61.8vs 38.5 line
Based on 6 games
Tre Tucker receiving yards over the last 6 games versus a line of 38.5.
| Date | Opponent | Result | Receiving Yards |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18 | vsBUF | Hit | 97 |
| Oct 11 | @NE | Hit | 41 |
| Oct 4 | vsKC | Hit | 44 |
| Sep 27 | @NO | Hit | 43 |
| Sep 20 | @LAC | Hit | 119 |
| Sep 13 | vsMIA | Miss | 27 |
Price as of Oct 24, 10:13 PM ET: BetMGM −115
Prices as of Oct 24, 10:13 PM ET. Compare prices at the book.
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
TUCKER · TEAM TARGET SHARE
16.6%of team targets
2026 regular season6 games
TUCKER · TEAM AIR-YARD SHARE
29.3%
2026 regular season6 games
TUCKER · RECEPTIONS PER GAME
4rec/game
2026 regular season6 games
Open
−112
Current
−115
Change
−3
Best available moved from −112 to −115. That's a worse payout. The move still doesn't tell you whether Over is worth backing.
Research refreshed
ESPN game data (opens in a new tab) ·
ESPN snapshot
Model snapshot
Los Angeles Rams by 4.3
ESPN model source (opens in a new tab)The Los Angeles Rams do not remove defensive end Myles Garrett from IR list, Garrett will miss Week 7 against the Las Vegas Raiders.
The Los Angeles Rams do not remove defensive end Myles Garrett from IR list, Garrett will miss Week 7 against the Las Vegas Raiders.
thecomeback.com · · Availability report
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
Carter Runyon
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Dont'e Thornton Jr.
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Blake Grupe
Reported context: Roster availability is affected; the replacement role is not confirmed.
Davante Adams
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Tre Tucker hit over 38.5 receiving yards in 5 of his last 6 tracked games (83%). Last seen is −115 at BetMGM.
Tre Tucker hit over 38.5 receiving yards in 5 of 6 games across this season (6 games) (83% hit rate).
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 4:25 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.