Braxton Jones
out
Reported context: Blocking personnel are affected; the size of the matchup impact is unknown.
NFL player prop TB Pending
Tez Johnson Over 9.5 Receiving Yards vs. Bears
The bet: Over 9.5 receiving yards
You checked 9.5, an alternate line. Most books: 15.5.
TB@CHI Nov 8, 8:20 PM ET
Cleared 9.5 in 4 of his last 7
Last 7 gamesSep 20 to Nov 1L7 average 25.4
Oldest to newest
Past results, not a forecast.
Showing saved research.
All games and results for this betHit rate vs the line
4of7
(57%)
Sep 20 – Nov 1
- 49
- 8
- 17
- 64
- 7
- 33
- 0
Receiving Yards per game, oldest to newest
L7 average
25.4vs 9.5 line
Based on 7 games
Game results
Tez Johnson receiving yards over the last 7 games versus a line of 9.5.
Results versus the line
HitMissLine 9.5
Game log · L7, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Result | Receiving Yards |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1 | vsATL | Miss | 0 |
| Oct 25 | @CAR | Hit | 33 |
| Oct 18 | vsPIT | Miss | 7 |
| Oct 8 | @DAL | Hit | 64 |
| Oct 4 | vsGB | Hit | 17 |
| Sep 27 | vsMIN | Miss | 8 |
| Sep 20 | vsCLE | Hit | 49 |
Matchup and team comparison
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
Tez Johnson
- Receiving yards per game
- 22.2
Season · 8 games
Tez Johnson
JOHNSON · TEAM TARGET SHARE
7.5%of team targets
2026 regular season8 games
JOHNSON · TEAM AIR-YARD SHARE
20.6%
2026 regular season8 games
Chicago Bears
CHI allows
149.6rec yds allowed/game to WRs
13th most (L4: 7th most)8 games
Market movement
Price history
Over 9.5 receiving yards
Best priceWhat's the vig on this price?
Odds format
Open
−192
Current
−185
Change
+7
Best available moved from −192 to −185. That pays $1.97 more on a $100 bet than at open.
News and availability
Availability and reports
The latest saved updates may be out of date.
Research refreshed
Latest sourced reports
- Chicago Bears hit with another troubling development in injury-riddled secondary (opens in a new tab)
the Chicago Bears will host the Tampa Bay Buccaneers
yardbarker.com · · Availability report
- Bears Week 9 Injury Report: Injuries pile up stressing an already weak secondary, plus a positive step forward for Kyle Monangai (opens in a new tab)
Bears Week 9 Injury Report: Injuries pile up stressing an already weak secondary, plus a positive step forward for Kyle Monangai
yardbarker.com · · Availability report
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
Chicago Bears
Kentavius Street
out
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Jalen McMillan
out
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Yaya Diaby
out
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
Related checks
Keep researching
Frequently asked
What does the data say about Tez Johnson Over 9.5 receiving yards at this number?
What is the historical hit rate for Tez Johnson Over 9.5 receiving yards?
Tez Johnson hit over 9.5 receiving yards in 4 of 7 games across the last 7 games (57% hit rate).
What is the best price for Tez Johnson Over 9.5 receiving yards?
When does this bet resolve?
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 8:20 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.