David Njoku
out
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
NFL player prop HOU Pending
Today's check
Nico Collins Over 69.5 Receiving Yards
The bet: Over 69.5 receiving yards
HOU@LAC Nov 8, 4:05 PM ET
Cleared 69.5 in 3 of his last 5
Last 5 gamesSep 13 to Oct 25L5 average 65.8
Oldest to newest
Past results, not a forecast.
Showing saved research.
Hit rate vs the line
3of5
(60%)
Sep 13 – Oct 25
- 75
- 118
- 56
- 74
- 6
Receiving Yards per game, oldest to newest
L5 average
65.8vs 69.5 line
Based on 5 games
Game results
Nico Collins receiving yards over the last 5 games versus a line of 69.5.
Results versus the line
HitMissLine 69.5
Game log · L5, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Result | Receiving Yards |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25 | vsNYG | Miss | 6 |
| Oct 18 | vsJAX(neutral) | Hit | 74 |
| Oct 11 | @TEN | Miss | 56 |
| Oct 4 | vsDAL | Hit | 118 |
| Sep 13 | vsBUF | Hit | 75 |
Matchup and team comparison
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
Nico Collins
- Receiving yards per game
- 65.8
Season · 5 games
Nico Collins
COLLINS · TEAM TARGET SHARE
22.4%of team targets
2026 regular season5 games
Los Angeles Chargers
LAC allows
132.7rec yds allowed/game to WRs
12th fewest (L4: 7th fewest)7 games
Game
Rest
+7days rest, HOU
HOU 14, LAC 7
Market movement
Price history
Over 69.5 receiving yards
Best priceWhat's the vig on this price?
Odds format
Open
+106
Current
−108
Change
−14
Best available moved from +106 to −108. That pays $13.41 less on a $100 bet than at open.
News and availability
Availability and reports
The latest saved updates may be out of date.
Research refreshed
Game conditions
- Venue
- SoFi Stadium
- Inglewood, CA · Artificial surface
- Forecast
- 88°F0% precipitationGusts 7 mph
ESPN game data (opens in a new tab) ·
ESPN game outlookNamed sportsbook line and dated ESPN model
DraftKings game line
ESPN snapshot
- Spread
- HOU -6
- Game total
- 40.5
- Los Angeles Chargers
- +200
- Houston Texans
- −245
ESPN matchup predictor
Model snapshot
- Los Angeles Chargers
- 38%
- Houston Texans
- 62%
Houston Texans by 3.1
ESPN model source (opens in a new tab)Matchup reports
No game report passed the current research checks. Injury statuses below are separate reports, not a news summary.
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
Los Angeles Chargers
Deane Leonard
out
Reported context: Secondary depth is affected; coverage changes are not confirmed.
Houston Texans
David Montgomery
out
Reported context: Backfield depth is affected; replacement touches are not confirmed.
Reed Blankenship
out
Reported context: Secondary depth is affected; coverage changes are not confirmed.
Related checks
Keep researching
Frequently asked
What does the data say about Nico Collins Over 69.5 receiving yards at this number?
What is the historical hit rate for Nico Collins Over 69.5 receiving yards?
Nico Collins hit over 69.5 receiving yards in 3 of 5 games across the last 5 games (60% hit rate).
What is the best price for Nico Collins Over 69.5 receiving yards?
When does this bet resolve?
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 4:05 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.