DeVonta Smith
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
NFL player prop DAL Pending
The bet: Over 19.5 receiving yards
Best price now +106 at FanDuel, as of Oct 26, 8:55 AM ET · 7 books quoting · Updating prices...
Opened −114 at FanDuel, now +106
2 of 6 decided (33%) · this season
Verified facts
Jake Ferguson averaged 21.8 receiving yards across 5 stored games, above the 19.5 line. He had 4.4 passes thrown his way per game. These are past results, not a forecast.
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The opponent: Philadelphia Eagles allowed 48.3 receiving yards per game to opposing tight ends combined across 6 games. That is a group total, not a forecast for one player.
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All games and results for this bet2of6
(33%)
Sep 13 – Oct 18
Receiving Yards per game, oldest to newest
19.2vs 19.5 line
Based on 6 games
Jake Ferguson receiving yards over the last 6 games versus a line of 19.5.
| Date | Opponent | Result | Receiving Yards |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18 | @GB | Miss | 13 |
| Oct 8 | vsTB | Miss | 19 |
| Oct 4 | @HOU | Miss | 11 |
| Sep 27 | vsBAL(neutral) | Hit | 23 |
| Sep 20 | vsWAS | Hit | 43 |
| Sep 13 | @NYG | Miss | 6 |
Best price now: FanDuel +106
Prices as of Oct 26, 8:55 AM ET. Compare prices at the book.
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
FERGUSON · TEAM TARGET SHARE
10%of team targets
2026 regular season6 games
FERGUSON · TEAM AIR-YARD SHARE
6.7%
2026 regular season6 games
FERGUSON · RECEPTIONS PER GAME
2.8rec/game
2026 regular season6 games
Open
−114
Current
+106
Change
+20
Best available moved from −114 to +106. That's a better payout, not a stronger case for Over.
Research refreshed
Dallas Cowboys' practice squad
after Jalen Hurts was sidelined by a blood clot.
thecomeback.com · · Availability report
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
DeVonta Smith
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Dontayvion Wicks
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Dee Winters
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
Drew Shelton
Reported context: Blocking personnel are affected; the size of the matchup impact is unknown.
Jake Ferguson hit over 19.5 receiving yards in 2 of his last 6 tracked games (33%). Best price is +106 at FanDuel.
Jake Ferguson hit over 19.5 receiving yards in 2 of 6 games across this season (6 games) (33% hit rate).
+106 at FanDuel is the best price attached to this check for Jake Ferguson Over 19.5 receiving yards right now. Prices move quickly, so compare the available books and confirm the number before betting.
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 8:15 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.