Christian Harris
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
NFL player prop BAL Settled: Hit
Receiving Yards
You checked 14.5, an alternate line. Most books: 4.5.
Over 14.5 receiving yards
2 of 4 decided (50%) · this season
Price as of Oct 11, 8:15 PM ET +320 at FanDuel
Limited sample: 4 decided games. Historical results are not a win probability.
Verified facts
Derrick Henry hit over 14.5 receiving yards in 2 of his last 4 tracked games (50%).
Showing saved research.
Final: 18.
Closing price +320 at FanDuel. Pregame evidence: hit 0 of 1 (0%) in the last 1.
| Date | Opponent | Line | Closing price | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 8:20 PM ET | Atlanta Falcons | 14.5 | +320 | hit |
2of4
(50%)
Sep 13 – Oct 4
Receiving Yards per game, oldest to newest
11.0vs 14.5 line
Based on 4 games
Derrick Henry receiving yards over the last 4 games versus a line of 14.5.
| Date | Opponent | Result | Receiving Yards |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4 | vsTEN | Miss | 6 |
| Sep 27 | vsDAL(neutral) | Miss | 0 |
| Sep 20 | vsNO | Hit | 19 |
| Sep 13 | @IND | Hit | 19 |
Closing price: FanDuel +320 · 33¢ better than DraftKings
Prices as of Oct 11, 8:15 PM ET. Compare prices at the book.
Game context
Derrick Henry: 12.4 receiving yards average (5 tracked games).
This game has started. The team stats below are the latest stored season totals, not a snapshot of what was known before kickoff. Any saved WagerLens Read above keeps its original capture time.
2026 season · 5 games
4–1
Record
29.2
Points / game
23.8
Allowed / game
2026 season · 6 games
2–4
Record
23.7
Points / game
25.5
Allowed / game
These recorded prices are shown for research only.
Open
+320
Current
+320
Change
0
Best available moved from +320 to +320. The best available price is basically unchanged. That doesn't make the case for or against Over.
Pregame research captured
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sportsnet.ca · · Availability report
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
Christian Harris
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
Cooper Rush
Reported context: Quarterback availability affects the offense; replacement performance is not assumed.
Aeneas Peebles
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
Andrew Vorhees
Reported context: Blocking personnel are affected; the size of the matchup impact is unknown.
Derrick Henry hit over 14.5 receiving yards in 2 of his last 4 tracked games (50%).
Derrick Henry hit over 14.5 receiving yards in 2 of 4 games across this season (4 games) (50% hit rate).
+320 at FanDuel is the best price attached to this check for Derrick Henry Over 14.5 receiving yards right now. Prices move quickly, so compare the available books and confirm the number before betting.
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 8:20 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.