Caleb Douglas
available
Reported context: Reported availability does not confirm an unrestricted workload.
NFL player prop MIA Pending
Caleb Douglas Over 39.5 Receiving Yards vs. Lions
The bet: Over 39.5 receiving yards
You checked 39.5, an alternate line. Most books: 40.5.
DET@MIA Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET
Cleared 39.5 in 3 of his last 4
Last 4 gamesSep 13 to Nov 1L4 average 56.5
Oldest to newest
Past results, not a forecast.
Showing saved research.
All games and results for this betHit rate vs the line
3of4
(75%)
Sep 13 – Nov 1
- 94
- 19
- 70
- 43
Receiving Yards per game, oldest to newest
L4 average
56.5vs 39.5 line
Based on 4 games
Game results
Caleb Douglas receiving yards over the last 4 games versus a line of 39.5.
Results versus the line
HitMissLine 39.5
Game log · L4, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Result | Receiving Yards |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1 | vsNE | Hit | 43 |
| Oct 25 | @NYJ | Hit | 70 |
| Sep 20 | @SF | Miss | 19 |
| Sep 13 | @LV | Hit | 94 |
Matchup and team comparison
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
Caleb Douglas
- Receiving yards per game
- 56.5
Season · 4 games
Caleb Douglas
DOUGLAS · TEAM TARGET SHARE
18.8%of team targets
2026 regular season4 games
DOUGLAS · TEAM AIR-YARD SHARE
28%
2026 regular season4 games
Detroit Lions
DET allows
175.9rec yds allowed/game to WRs
6th most (L4: 10th most)7 games
Market movement
Price history
Over 39.5 receiving yards
Best price
Odds format
Open
+101
Current
−119
Change
−20
Best available moved from +101 to −119. That pays $16.97 less on a $100 bet than at open.
News and availability
Availability and reports
The latest saved updates may be out of date.
Research refreshed
Game conditions
- Venue
- Hard Rock Stadium
- Miami Gardens, FL · Grass
- Forecast
- 86°F43% precipitationGusts 9 mph
ESPN game data (opens in a new tab) ·
ESPN game outlookNamed sportsbook line and dated ESPN model
DraftKings game line
ESPN snapshot
- Spread
- DET -6.5
- Game total
- 50.5
- Miami Dolphins
- +240
- Detroit Lions
- −298
ESPN matchup predictor
Model snapshot
- Miami Dolphins
- 22%
- Detroit Lions
- 78%
Detroit Lions by 7.7
ESPN model source (opens in a new tab)Latest sourced reports
- Jeff Hafley Gives Dolphins Injury Updates Ahead of Lions Game (opens in a new tab)
Jeff Hafley Gives Dolphins Injury Updates Ahead of Lions Game
Jeff Hafley Gives Dolphins Injury Updates Ahead of Lions Game
yardbarker.com · · Availability report
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
Miami Dolphins
Darrell Baker Jr.
out
Reported context: Secondary depth is affected; coverage changes are not confirmed.
Detroit Lions
Cade Mays
out
Reported context: Blocking personnel are affected; the size of the matchup impact is unknown.
D.J. Reed
out
Reported context: Secondary depth is affected; coverage changes are not confirmed.
Related checks
Keep researching
Frequently asked
What does the data say about Caleb Douglas Over 39.5 receiving yards at this number?
What is the historical hit rate for Caleb Douglas Over 39.5 receiving yards?
Caleb Douglas hit over 39.5 receiving yards in 3 of 4 games across this season (4 games) (75% hit rate).
When does this bet resolve?
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 1:00 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.