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NFL player prop JAX Pending

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Brian Thomas Jr. Over 10.5 Receiving Yards

The bet: Over 10.5 receiving yards

You checked 10.5, an alternate line. Most books: 12.5.

JAX@BAL Nov 5, 8:15 PM ET

Cleared 10.5 in 4 of his last 7

4of7(57%)

Last 7 gamesSep 13 to Nov 1L7 average 16.7

Oldest to newest

Past results, not a forecast.

Showing saved research.

Hit rate vs the line

4of7

(57%)

Sep 13 – Nov 1

  1. 40
  2. 40
  3. 8
  4. 17
  5. 0
  6. 0
  7. 12

Receiving Yards per game, oldest to newest

L7 average

16.7vs 10.5 line

Based on 7 games

Game results

Brian Thomas Jr. receiving yards over the last 7 games versus a line of 10.5.

Results versus the line

L7
HitMissLine 10.5
Game log · L7, newest first
DateOpponentResultReceiving Yards
Nov 1vsIND
Hit
12
Oct 18vsHOU(neutral)
Miss
0
Oct 11vsPHI(neutral)
Miss
0
Oct 4@CIN
Hit
17
Sep 27vsNE
Miss
8
Sep 20@DEN
Hit
40
Sep 13vsCLE
Hit
40

Matchup and team comparison

Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.

Brian Thomas Jr.

Receiving yards per game

Season · 7 games

16.7

Brian Thomas Jr.

THOMAS · RECEPTIONS PER GAME

1.4rec/game

2026 regular season7 games

Baltimore Ravens

BAL allows

177.6rec yds allowed/game to WRs

5th most (L4: 5th most)8 games

Game

Rest

4days rest, both teams

JAX 4, BAL 4

Market movement

News and availability

Availability and reports

Sources checked

Matchup reports

No game report passed the current research checks. Injury statuses below are separate reports, not a news summary.

These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.

Baltimore Ravens

Jacksonville Jaguars

DaVon Hamilton

out

Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.

ESPN report (opens in a new tab) ·

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Frequently asked

What does the data say about Brian Thomas Jr. Over 10.5 receiving yards at this number?

Brian Thomas Jr. hit over 10.5 receiving yards in 4 of his last 7 tracked games (57%). Last seen is −120 at BetMGM.

What is the historical hit rate for Brian Thomas Jr. Over 10.5 receiving yards?

Brian Thomas Jr. hit over 10.5 receiving yards in 4 of 7 games across the last 7 games (57% hit rate).

When does this bet resolve?

Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 8:15 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.

How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?

We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.

Research, not a pick.

We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.

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