Dont'e Thornton Jr.
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
NFL player prop LV Settled: Hit
The bet: Over 21.5 receiving yards
You checked 21.5, an alternate line. Most books: 19.5.
Price as of Oct 4, 4:00 PM ET −109 at DraftKings
2 of 3 decided (67%) · last 3 games
Limited sample: 3 decided games. Historical results are not a win probability.
Verified facts
Ashton Jeanty averaged 41.2 receiving yards across 5 stored games, above the 21.5 line. He had 6 passes thrown his way per game. These are past results, not a forecast.
Stored results, not a snapshot of what was known before kickoff.
Showing saved research.
Final: 68.
Closing price −109 at DraftKings. Pregame evidence: hit 2 of 3 (67%) in the last 3.
2of3
(67%)
Sep 13 – Sep 27
Receiving Yards per game, oldest to newest
32.3vs 21.5 line
Based on 3 games
Ashton Jeanty receiving yards over the last 3 games versus a line of 21.5.
| Date | Opponent | Result | Receiving Yards |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27 | @NO | Hit | 37 |
| Sep 20 | @LAC | Miss | 15 |
| Sep 13 | vsMIA | Hit | 45 |
Closing price: DraftKings −109 · 6¢ better than BetMGM
Prices as of Oct 4, 4:00 PM ET. Compare prices at the book.
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
This game has started. The team stats below are the latest stored season totals, not a snapshot of what was known before kickoff. Any saved WagerLens Read above keeps its original capture time.
2026 season · 5 games
5–0
Record
28
Points / game
16.6
Allowed / game
2026 season · 6 games
3–3
Record
27
Points / game
27
Allowed / game
These recorded prices are shown for research only.
Open
−113
Current
−109
Change
+4
Best available moved from −113 to −109. That's a better payout, not a stronger case for Over.
Pregame research captured
Las Vegas Raiders
Jackson Powers-Johnson
G · Groin ·
Aidan O'Connell
QB · Coach's Decision ·
Jonah Laulu
DT · Coach's Decision ·
Darrell Luter Jr.
CB · Coach's Decision ·
Tristin McCollum
S · Coach's Decision ·
Kansas City Chiefs
Jared Wiley
TE · Coach's Decision ·
Garrett Nussmeier
QB · Coach's Decision ·
Diego Pounds
OT · Coach's Decision ·
Jack Pyburn
LB · Coach's Decision ·
Josh Simmons
OT · Back ·
ESPN game data (opens in a new tab) ·
ESPN snapshot
Model snapshot
Kansas City Chiefs by 5.4
ESPN model source (opens in a new tab)The Kansas City Chiefs have elevated LB Cole Christiansen for Week 4 against the Las Vegas Raiders.
The Kansas City Chiefs have elevated LB Cole Christiansen for Week 4 against the Las Vegas Raiders.
yardbarker.com · · Availability report
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
Dont'e Thornton Jr.
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Jack Bech
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Jadon Canady
Reported context: Secondary depth is affected; coverage changes are not confirmed.
Ashton Jeanty hit over 21.5 receiving yards in 2 of his last 3 tracked games (67%). Last seen is −109 at DraftKings.
Ashton Jeanty hit over 21.5 receiving yards in 2 of 3 games across the last 3 games (67% hit rate).
−109 at DraftKings was the recorded closing price for Ashton Jeanty Over 21.5 receiving yards.
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 4:25 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.