A.J. Haulcy
out
Reported context: Secondary depth is affected; coverage changes are not confirmed.
NFL player prop IND Pending
Today's check
Tyler Warren Under 16.5 Longest Reception
The bet: Under 16.5 longest reception
DAL@IND Nov 8, 1:00 PM ET
Stayed under 16.5 in 5 of his last 6
Last 6 gamesSep 13 to Nov 1L6 average 14.0
Oldest to newest
Past results, not a forecast.
Showing saved research.
Hit rate vs the line
5of6
(83%)
Sep 13 – Nov 1
- 9
- 8
- 15
- 13
- 29
- 10
Longest Reception per game, oldest to newest
L6 average
14.0vs 16.5 line
Based on 6 games
Game results
Tyler Warren longest reception over the last 6 games versus a line of 16.5.
Results versus the line
HitMissLine 16.5
Game log · L6, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Result | Longest Reception |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1 | @JAX | Hit | 10 |
| Oct 11 | @PIT | Miss | 29 |
| Oct 4 | vsWAS(neutral) | Hit | 13 |
| Sep 27 | vsHOU | Hit | 15 |
| Sep 20 | @KC | Hit | 8 |
| Sep 13 | vsBAL | Hit | 9 |
Matchup and team comparison
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
Tyler Warren
- Longest reception per game
- 14
Season · 6 games
Tyler Warren
WARREN · TEAM TARGET SHARE
23.5%of team targets
2026 regular season6 games
WARREN · TEAM AIR-YARD SHARE
14.2%
2026 regular season6 games
Dallas Cowboys
DAL allows
51rec yds allowed/game to TEs
13th fewest (L4: 12th fewest)8 games
Market movement
Price history
Under 16.5 longest reception
Best priceWhat's the vig on this price?
Odds format
Open
−112
Current
−114
Change
−2
Best available moved from −112 to −114. That pays $1.57 less on a $100 bet than at open.
News and availability
Availability and reports
Sources checked
Matchup reports
No game report passed the current research checks. Injury statuses below are separate reports, not a news summary.
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
Indianapolis Colts
Akeem Davis-Gaither
out
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
Dallas Cowboys
Jalen Thompson
out
Reported context: Secondary depth is affected; coverage changes are not confirmed.
Jonathan Bullard
out
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
Related checks
Keep researching
Frequently asked
What does the data say about Tyler Warren Under 16.5 longest reception at this number?
What is the historical hit rate for Tyler Warren Under 16.5 longest reception?
Tyler Warren hit under 16.5 longest reception in 5 of 6 games across this season (6 games) (83% hit rate).
What is the best price for Tyler Warren Under 16.5 longest reception?
When does this bet resolve?
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 1:00 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.