Bill Murray
Reported context: Blocking personnel are affected; the size of the matchup impact is unknown.
NFL player prop LAR Settled: Hit
Longest Reception
Under 11.5 longest reception
1 of 4 decided (25%) · this season
Price as of Oct 12, 8:10 PM ET −124 at DraftKings
Limited sample: 4 decided games. Historical results are not a win probability.
Verified facts
Kyren Williams hit under 11.5 longest reception in 1 of his last 4 tracked games (25%).
Showing saved research.
Final: 9.
Closing price −124 at DraftKings. Pregame evidence: hit 0 of 1 (0%) in the last 1.
| Date | Opponent | Line | Closing price | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 8:15 PM ET | Buffalo Bills | 11.5 | −124 | hit |
1of4
(25%)
Sep 10 – Oct 4
Longest Reception per game, oldest to newest
15.5vs 11.5 line
Based on 4 games
Kyren Williams longest reception over the last 4 games versus a line of 11.5.
| Date | Opponent | Result | Longest Reception |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4 | @PHI | Miss | 16 |
| Sep 27 | @DEN | Miss | 20 |
| Sep 21 | vsNYG | Hit | 10 |
| Sep 10 | vsSF(neutral) | Miss | 16 |
Closing price: DraftKings −124 · 6¢ better than theScore Bet
Prices as of Oct 12, 8:10 PM ET. Compare prices at the book.
Game context
Kyren Williams: 13 longest reception average (6 tracked games).
This game has started. The team stats below are the latest stored season totals, not a snapshot of what was known before kickoff. Any saved WagerLens Read above keeps its original capture time.
2026 season · 6 games
5–1
Record
32.8
Points / game
28.5
Allowed / game
2026 season · 6 games
2–4
Record
22.5
Points / game
23
Allowed / game
These recorded prices are shown for research only.
Open
−115
Current
−115
Change
0
Best available moved from −115 to −115. The best available price is basically unchanged. That doesn't make the case for or against Under.
Pregame research captured
Aaron Donald thinks he'll play for Rams vs Bills after a short injury setback in his comeback
plans to play for the Rams against the Buffalo Bills
abcnews.com · · Availability report
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
Bill Murray
Reported context: Blocking personnel are affected; the size of the matchup impact is unknown.
CJ Daniels
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Ar'maj Reed-Adams
Reported context: Blocking personnel are affected; the size of the matchup impact is unknown.
DJ Moore
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Kyren Williams hit under 11.5 longest reception in 1 of his last 4 tracked games (25%).
Kyren Williams hit under 11.5 longest reception in 1 of 4 games across this season (4 games) (25% hit rate).
−124 at DraftKings is the best price attached to this check for Kyren Williams Under 11.5 longest reception right now. Prices move quickly, so compare the available books and confirm the number before betting.
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 8:15 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.