RJ Harvey
out
Reported context: Backfield depth is affected; replacement touches are not confirmed.
NFL player prop KC Pending
Today's check
Kenneth Walker III Under 12.5 Longest Reception
The bet: Under 12.5 longest reception
You checked 12.5, an alternate line. Most books: 11.5.
KC@DEN Nov 1, 4:25 PM ET
Showing saved research.
Hit rate vs the line
5of6
(83%)
Sep 14 – Oct 25
- 11
- 22
- 5
- 2
- 6
- 7
Longest Reception per game, oldest to newest
L6 average
8.8vs 12.5 line
Based on 6 games
Game results
Kenneth Walker III longest reception over the last 6 games versus a line of 12.5.
Results versus the line
HitMissLine 12.5
Game log · L6, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Result | Longest Reception |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25 | @SEA | Hit | 7 |
| Oct 18 | vsLAC | Hit | 6 |
| Oct 4 | @LV | Hit | 2 |
| Sep 27 | @MIA | Hit | 5 |
| Sep 20 | vsIND | Miss | 22 |
| Sep 14 | vsDEN | Hit | 11 |
Matchup and team comparison
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
Kenneth Walker III
- Longest reception per game
- 8.8
Season · 6 games
Kenneth Walker III
WALKER · TEAM TARGET SHARE
15.1%of team targets
2026 regular season6 games
WALKER · RECEPTIONS PER GAME
3rec/game
2026 regular season6 games
Denver Broncos
DEN · RECEIVING YARDS
255.8yds/game
2026 regular seasonL5
Market movement
Price history
Under 12.5 longest reception
Best price
Odds format
Open
−130
Current
−130
Change
0
Best available moved from −130 to −130. The best available price is basically unchanged. That doesn't make the case for or against Under.
News and availability
Availability and reports
Research refreshed
Game conditions
- Venue
- Empower Field at Mile High
- Denver, CO · Grass
- Forecast
- 63°F20% precipitationGusts 9 mph
ESPN game data (opens in a new tab) ·
ESPN game outlookNamed sportsbook line and dated ESPN model
DraftKings game line
ESPN snapshot
- Spread
- KC -1.5
- Game total
- 41.5
- Denver Broncos
- −108
- Kansas City Chiefs
- −112
ESPN matchup predictor
Model snapshot
- Denver Broncos
- 44%
- Kansas City Chiefs
- 56%
Kansas City Chiefs by 1.5
ESPN model source (opens in a new tab)Latest sourced reports
- Chiefs' Travis Kelce should be good to go against Broncos despite ongoing injury (opens in a new tab)
Chiefs' Travis Kelce should be good to go against Broncos despite ongoing injury
Chiefs' Travis Kelce should be good to go against Broncos despite ongoing injury
yardbarker.com · · Availability report
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
Denver Broncos
Talanoa Hufanga
out
Reported context: Secondary depth is affected; coverage changes are not confirmed.
Kansas City Chiefs
L'Jarius Sneed
out
Reported context: Secondary depth is affected; coverage changes are not confirmed.
Mansoor Delane
out
Reported context: Secondary depth is affected; coverage changes are not confirmed.
Related checks
Keep researching
Frequently asked
What does the data say about Kenneth Walker III Under 12.5 longest reception at this number?
What is the historical hit rate for Kenneth Walker III Under 12.5 longest reception?
Kenneth Walker III hit under 12.5 longest reception in 5 of 6 games across this season (6 games) (83% hit rate).
When does this bet resolve?
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 4:25 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.