Dallen Bentley
out
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
NFL player prop KC Pending
Travis Kelce Over 17.5 Longest Reception
The bet: Over 17.5 longest reception
You checked 17.5, an alternate line. Most books: 18.5.
KC@DEN Nov 1, 4:25 PM ET
Showing saved research.
Hit rate vs the line
5of6
(83%)
Sep 14 – Oct 25
- 59
- 18
- 48
- 10
- 24
- 19
Longest Reception per game, oldest to newest
L6 average
29.7vs 17.5 line
Based on 6 games
Game results
Travis Kelce longest reception over the last 6 games versus a line of 17.5.
Results versus the line
HitMissLine 17.5
Game log · L6, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Result | Longest Reception |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25 | @SEA | Hit | 19 |
| Oct 18 | vsLAC | Hit | 24 |
| Oct 4 | @LV | Miss | 10 |
| Sep 27 | @MIA | Hit | 48 |
| Sep 20 | vsIND | Hit | 18 |
| Sep 14 | vsDEN | Hit | 59 |
Matchup and team comparison
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
This game has started. The team stats below are the latest stored season totals, not a snapshot of what was known before kickoff. Any saved WagerLens Read above keeps its original capture time.
Travis Kelce
- Longest reception per game
- 29.7
Season · 6 games
KELCE · TEAM TARGET SHARE
19.6%of team targets
2026 regular season6 games
KELCE · TEAM AIR-YARD SHARE
19.6%
2026 regular season6 games
KELCE · RECEPTIONS PER GAME
4rec/game
2026 regular season6 games
Market movement
These recorded prices are shown for research only.
Price history
Over 17.5 longest reception
Closing priceWhat's the vig on this price?
Odds format
Open
−117
Current
−124
Change
−7
Best available moved from −117 to −124. That pays $4.82 less on a $100 bet than at open.
News and availability
Availability and reports
Pregame research captured
Game conditions
- Venue
- Empower Field at Mile High
- Denver, CO · Grass
- Forecast
- 66°F48% precipitationGusts 9 mph
Game-day inactives
Denver Broncos
Sam Ehlinger
QB · Coach's Decision ·
Tyler Onyedim
DT · Coach's Decision ·
Gavin Ortega
OT · Coach's Decision ·
Talanoa Hufanga
S · Ankle ·
Jordan Jackson
DT · Coach's Decision ·
Kansas City Chiefs
Garrett Nussmeier
QB · Coach's Decision ·
Ben VanSumeren
FB · Coach's Decision ·
Diego Pounds
OT · Coach's Decision ·
Jack Pyburn
LB · Coach's Decision ·
Tyreke Smith
DE · Coach's Decision ·
ESPN game data (opens in a new tab) ·
ESPN game outlookNamed sportsbook line and dated ESPN model
DraftKings game line
ESPN snapshot
- Spread
- DEN -1.5
- Game total
- 41.5
- Denver Broncos
- −112
- Kansas City Chiefs
- −108
ESPN matchup predictor
Model snapshot
- Denver Broncos
- 44%
- Kansas City Chiefs
- 56%
Kansas City Chiefs by 1.5
ESPN model source (opens in a new tab)Latest sourced reports
- Chiefs' Travis Kelce should be good to go against Broncos despite ongoing injury (opens in a new tab)
Chiefs' Travis Kelce should be good to go against Broncos despite ongoing injury
Chiefs' Travis Kelce should be good to go against Broncos despite ongoing injury
yardbarker.com · · Availability report
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
Denver Broncos
Kage Casey
out
Reported context: Blocking personnel are affected; the size of the matchup impact is unknown.
Kansas City Chiefs
L'Jarius Sneed
out
Reported context: Secondary depth is affected; coverage changes are not confirmed.
Mansoor Delane
out
Reported context: Secondary depth is affected; coverage changes are not confirmed.
Related checks
Keep researching
Frequently asked
What does the data say about Travis Kelce Over 17.5 longest reception at this number?
What is the historical hit rate for Travis Kelce Over 17.5 longest reception?
Travis Kelce hit over 17.5 longest reception in 5 of 6 games across this season (6 games) (83% hit rate).
What is the closing price for Travis Kelce Over 17.5 longest reception?
When does this bet resolve?
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 4:25 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.