Charles Cross
out
Reported context: Blocking personnel are affected; the size of the matchup impact is unknown.
NFL player prop CHI Pending
Luther Burden III Over 20.5 Longest Reception vs. Seahawks
The bet: Over 20.5 longest reception
You checked 20.5, an alternate line. Most books: 21.5.
CHI@SEA Nov 2, 8:20 PM ET
Showing saved research.
All games and results for this betHit rate vs the line
6of7
(86%)
Sep 13 – Oct 22
- 24
- 18
- 25
- 22
- 23
- 25
- 58
Longest Reception per game, oldest to newest
L7 average
27.9vs 20.5 line
Based on 7 games
Game results
Luther Burden III longest reception over the last 7 games versus a line of 20.5.
Results versus the line
HitMissLine 20.5
Game log · L7, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Result | Longest Reception |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22 | vsNE | Hit | 58 |
| Oct 18 | @ATL | Hit | 25 |
| Oct 11 | @GB | Hit | 23 |
| Oct 4 | vsNYJ | Hit | 22 |
| Sep 28 | vsPHI | Hit | 25 |
| Sep 20 | vsMIN | Miss | 18 |
| Sep 13 | @CAR | Hit | 24 |
Matchup and team comparison
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
Luther Burden III
- Longest reception per game
- 27.9
Season · 7 games
Luther Burden III
BURDEN · TEAM TARGET SHARE
21%of team targets
2026 regular season7 games
BURDEN · TEAM AIR-YARD SHARE
26.1%
2026 regular season7 games
Game
Rest
+3days rest, CHI
CHI 11, SEA 8
Market movement
Price history
Over 20.5 longest reception
Best price
Odds format
Open
−125
Current
−120
Change
+5
Best available moved from −125 to −120. That pays $3.33 more on a $100 bet than at open.
News and availability
Availability and reports
The latest saved updates may be out of date.
Research refreshed
Latest sourced reports
- Chicago Bears pass rushers paying close attention to Seahawks injury update (opens in a new tab)
Chicago Bears pass rushers paying close attention to Seahawks injury update
yardbarker.com · · Availability report
- Bears QB Caleb Williams slapped with another big NFL punishment (opens in a new tab)
Chicago Bears quarterback Caleb Williams is back on the field after being out for three games with an injury
yardbarker.com · · Availability report
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
Seattle Seahawks
Jadarian Price
out
Reported context: Backfield depth is affected; replacement touches are not confirmed.
Chicago Bears
Coby Bryant
out
Reported context: Secondary depth is affected; coverage changes are not confirmed.
Kyle Monangai
out
Reported context: Backfield depth is affected; replacement touches are not confirmed.
Related checks
Keep researching
Frequently asked
What does the data say about Luther Burden III Over 20.5 longest reception at this number?
What is the historical hit rate for Luther Burden III Over 20.5 longest reception?
Luther Burden III hit over 20.5 longest reception in 6 of 7 games across the last 7 games (86% hit rate).
When does this bet resolve?
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 8:20 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.