Andrei Iosivas
out
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
NFL player prop PIT Pending
Today's check
Jaylen Warren Over 12.5 Longest Reception
The bet: Over 12.5 longest reception
PIT@CIN Nov 15, 8:20 PM ET
Cleared 12.5 in 6 of his last 7
Last 7 gamesSep 20 to Nov 1L7 average 27.3
Oldest to newest
Past results, not a forecast.
Showing saved research.
Past games
| Date | Opponent | Line | Actual | Closing price | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 1:00 PM ET | Cleveland Browns | Over 12.5 longest reception | 0 longest reception | −122 | miss |
| Oct 1, 8:15 PM ET | Cleveland Browns | Over 12.5 longest reception | 13 longest reception | −102 | hit |
Hit rate vs the line
6of7
(86%)
Sep 20 – Nov 1
- 26
- 30
- 13
- 80
- 16
- 26
- 0
Longest Reception per game, oldest to newest
L7 average
27.3vs 12.5 line
Based on 7 games
Game results
Jaylen Warren longest reception over the last 7 games versus a line of 12.5.
Results versus the line
HitMissLine 12.5
Game log · L7, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Result | Longest Reception |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1 | vsCLE | Miss | 0 |
| Oct 25 | vsNO(neutral) | Hit | 26 |
| Oct 18 | @TB | Hit | 16 |
| Oct 11 | vsIND | Hit | 80 |
| Oct 1 | @CLE | Hit | 13 |
| Sep 27 | vsCIN | Hit | 30 |
| Sep 20 | @NE | Hit | 26 |
Matchup and team comparison
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
Jaylen Warren
- Longest reception per game
- 26.1
Season · 8 games
Jaylen Warren
WARREN · TEAM TARGET SHARE
13.4%of team targets
2026 regular season8 games
Cincinnati Bengals
CIN allows
32.3rec yds allowed/game to RBs
16th most (L4: 12th fewest)8 games
Game
Rest
+7days rest, PIT
PIT 14, CIN 7Divisional game
Market movement
Price history
Over 12.5 longest reception
Best price
Odds format
Open
−115
Current
−106
Change
+9
Best available moved from −115 to −106. That pays $7.38 more on a $100 bet than at open.
News and availability
Availability and reports
The latest saved updates may be out of date.
Research refreshed
Matchup reports
No game report passed the current research checks. Injury statuses below are separate reports, not a news summary.
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
Cincinnati Bengals
Brian Parker II
out
Reported context: Blocking personnel are affected; the size of the matchup impact is unknown.
Pittsburgh Steelers
Derrick Harmon
out
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
Michael Pittman Jr.
out
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Related checks
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Frequently asked
What does the data say about Jaylen Warren Over 12.5 longest reception at this number?
What is the historical hit rate for Jaylen Warren Over 12.5 longest reception?
Jaylen Warren hit over 12.5 longest reception in 6 of 7 games across the last 7 games (86% hit rate).
When does this bet resolve?
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 8:20 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.