Chazz Surratt
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
NFL player prop SEA Pending
The bet: Over 27.5 longest reception
Best price now −115 at BetMGM, as of Oct 25, 4:24 PM ET · 3 books quoting · Updating prices...
Opened −112 at DraftKings, now −115
5 of 6 decided (83%) · this season
Verified facts
Jaxon Smith-Njigba hit over 27.5 longest reception in 5 of his last 6 tracked games (83%).
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Showing saved research.
All games and results for this bet5of6
(83%)
Sep 9 – Oct 15
Longest Reception per game, oldest to newest
41.8vs 27.5 line
Based on 6 games
Jaxon Smith-Njigba longest reception over the last 6 games versus a line of 27.5.
| Date | Opponent | Result | Longest Reception |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15 | @DEN | Hit | 32 |
| Oct 11 | vsSF | Hit | 38 |
| Oct 4 | vsLAC | Hit | 28 |
| Sep 27 | @WAS | Miss | 26 |
| Sep 20 | @ARI | Hit | 82 |
| Sep 9 | vsNE | Hit | 45 |
Best price now: BetMGM −115 · 10¢ better than theScore Bet
Prices as of Oct 25, 4:24 PM ET. Compare prices at the book.
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
SMITH-NJIGBA · TEAM TARGET SHARE
35.1%of team targets
2026 regular season6 games
SMITH-NJIGBA · TEAM AIR-YARD SHARE
48.4%
2026 regular season6 games
Rest
+3days rest, SEA
SEA 10, KC 7
Open
−112
Current
−115
Change
−3
Best available moved from −112 to −115. That's a worse payout. The move still doesn't tell you whether Over is worth backing.
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Research refreshed
opening Anthony Bradford’s 21-day practice window on Monday.
Anthony Bradford's return gives Seahawks hope of fixing struggling offensive line
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Chazz Surratt
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
Drake Thomas
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
Brashard Smith
Reported context: Backfield depth is affected; replacement touches are not confirmed.
Jaylon Moore
Reported context: Blocking personnel are affected; the size of the matchup impact is unknown.
Jaxon Smith-Njigba hit over 27.5 longest reception in 5 of his last 6 tracked games (83%). Best price is −115 at BetMGM.
Jaxon Smith-Njigba hit over 27.5 longest reception in 5 of 6 games across this season (6 games) (83% hit rate).
−115 at BetMGM is the best price attached to this check for Jaxon Smith-Njigba Over 27.5 longest reception right now. Prices move quickly, so compare the available books and confirm the number before betting.
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 8:20 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.