Ar'maj Reed-Adams
Reported context: Blocking personnel are affected; the size of the matchup impact is unknown.
NFL player prop BUF Settled: Miss
Longest Reception
You checked 21.5, an alternate line. Most books: 20.5.
Over 21.5 longest reception
3 of 3 decided (100%) · last 3 games
Price as of Oct 4, 12:57 PM ET −115 at BetRivers
Limited sample: 3 decided games. Historical results are not a win probability.
Verified facts
Dalton Kincaid hit over 21.5 longest reception in 3 of his last 3 tracked games (100%).
Showing saved research.
Final: 7.
Closing price not available. Pregame evidence: hit 3 of 3 (100%) in the last 3.
| Date | Opponent | Line | Closing price | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET | New England Patriots | 21.5 | −115 | miss |
3of3
(100%)
Sep 13 – Sep 27
Longest Reception per game, oldest to newest
29.7vs 21.5 line
Based on 3 games
Dalton Kincaid longest reception over the last 3 games versus a line of 21.5.
| Date | Opponent | Result | Longest Reception |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27 | vsLAC | Hit | 24 |
| Sep 17 | vsDET | Hit | 25 |
| Sep 13 | @HOU | Hit | 40 |
Closing price: BetRivers −115
Prices as of Oct 4, 12:57 PM ET. Compare prices at the book.
Game context
Dalton Kincaid: 19.5 longest reception average (6 tracked games).
This game has started. The team stats below are the latest stored season totals, not a snapshot of what was known before kickoff. Any saved WagerLens Read above keeps its original capture time.
2026 season · 6 games
4–2
Record
22.7
Points / game
18.8
Allowed / game
2026 season · 6 games
5–1
Record
32.8
Points / game
28.5
Allowed / game
These recorded prices are shown for research only.
Open
−109
Current
−110
Change
−1
Best available moved from −109 to −110. That's a worse payout. The move still doesn't tell you whether Over is worth backing.
Pregame research captured
Drake Maye has been cleared to play for the New England Patriots against the Buffalo Bills despite being listed on the injury report with a right shoulder issue...
yardbarker.com · · Availability report
Patriots' Drake Maye responds to report about rift with Mike Vrabel, makes firm shoulder injury statement
yardbarker.com · · Availability report
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
Ar'maj Reed-Adams
Reported context: Blocking personnel are affected; the size of the matchup impact is unknown.
Christian Benford
Reported context: Secondary depth is affected; coverage changes are not confirmed.
A.J. Brown
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Behren Morton
Reported context: Quarterback availability affects the offense; replacement performance is not assumed.
Dalton Kincaid hit over 21.5 longest reception in 3 of his last 3 tracked games (100%).
Dalton Kincaid hit over 21.5 longest reception in 3 of 3 games across the last 3 games (100% hit rate).
−115 at BetRivers is the best price attached to this check for Dalton Kincaid Over 21.5 longest reception right now. Prices move quickly, so compare the available books and confirm the number before betting.
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 1:00 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.