Greg Van Roten
out
Reported context: Blocking personnel are affected; the size of the matchup impact is unknown.
NFL player prop GB Pending
Upcoming check
Christian Watson Over 14.5 Longest Reception
The bet: Over 14.5 longest reception
You checked 14.5, an alternate line. Most books: 26.5.
GB@NE Nov 8, 4:25 PM ET
Cleared 14.5 in 7 of his last 7
Last 7 gamesSep 20 to Oct 29L7 average 33.4
Oldest to newest
Past results, not a forecast.
Showing saved research.
Past games
| Date | Opponent | Line | Actual | Closing price | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 8:15 PM ET | Carolina Panthers | Over 14.5 longest reception | 53 longest reception | −900 | hit |
Hit rate vs the line
7of7
(100%)
Sep 20 – Oct 29
- 20
- 34
- 18
- 53
- 28
- 28
- 53
Longest Reception per game, oldest to newest
L7 average
33.4vs 14.5 line
Based on 7 games
Game results
Christian Watson longest reception over the last 7 games versus a line of 14.5.
Results versus the line
HitMissLine 14.5
Game log · L7, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Result | Longest Reception |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29 | vsCAR | Hit | 53 |
| Oct 25 | @DET | Hit | 28 |
| Oct 18 | vsDAL | Hit | 28 |
| Oct 11 | vsCHI | Hit | 53 |
| Oct 4 | @TB | Hit | 18 |
| Sep 24 | vsATL | Hit | 34 |
| Sep 20 | @NYJ | Hit | 20 |
Matchup and team comparison
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
Christian Watson
- Longest reception per game
- 39.4
Season · 8 games
Christian Watson
WATSON · TEAM TARGET SHARE
21.9%of team targets
2026 regular season8 games
New England Patriots
NE allows
152.1rec yds allowed/game to WRs
10th most (L4: 13th most)8 games
Game
Rest
+3days rest, GB
GB 10, NE 7
Market movement
Price history
Over 14.5 longest reception
Best price
Odds format
Open
−1100
Current
−1100
Change
0
Best available moved from −1100 to −1100. The best available price is basically unchanged. That doesn't make the case for or against Over.
News and availability
Availability and reports
The latest saved updates may be out of date.
Research refreshed
Latest sourced reports
- Packers are making a quarterback move ahead of Week 9 game (opens in a new tab)
The Green Bay Packers are adding some insurance at quarterback ahead of their Week 9 game against the New England Patriots.
With Jordan Love firmly entrenched as their starter as long as he remains healthy
larrybrownsports.com · · Team report
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
New England Patriots
Mack Hollins
out
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Green Bay Packers
Christian Watson
questionable
Reported context: Participation is unresolved. Do not count this player as ruled out.
Chris Brooks
out
Reported context: Backfield depth is affected; replacement touches are not confirmed.
Related checks
Keep researching
Frequently asked
What does the data say about Christian Watson Over 14.5 longest reception at this number?
What is the historical hit rate for Christian Watson Over 14.5 longest reception?
Christian Watson hit over 14.5 longest reception in 7 of 7 games across the last 7 games (100% hit rate).
When does this bet resolve?
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 4:25 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.