Joe Alt
Reported context: Blocking personnel are affected; the size of the matchup impact is unknown.
NFL player prop LAC Settled: Hit
Passing Yards
You checked 195.5, an alternate line. Most books: 202.5.
Under 195.5 passing yards
2 of 4 decided (50%) · this season
Price as of Oct 10, 9:39 PM ET −110 at Fanatics
Limited sample: 4 decided games. Historical results are not a win probability.
Verified facts
Justin Herbert hit under 195.5 passing yards in 2 of his last 4 tracked games (50%).
Showing saved research.
Final: 121.
Closing price −110 at Fanatics. Pregame evidence: hit 2 of 3 (67%) in the last 3.
| Date | Opponent | Line | Closing price | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 4:05 PM ET | Denver Broncos | 195.5 | −110 | hit |
2of4
(50%)
Sep 13 – Oct 4
Passing Yards per game, oldest to newest
204.0vs 195.5 line
Based on 4 games
Justin Herbert passing yards over the last 4 games versus a line of 195.5.
| Date | Opponent | Result | Passing Yards |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4 | @SEA | Hit | 189 |
| Sep 27 | @BUF | Miss | 226 |
| Sep 20 | vsLV | Hit | 192 |
| Sep 13 | vsARI | Miss | 209 |
Closing price: Fanatics −110
Prices as of Oct 10, 9:39 PM ET. Compare prices at the book.
Game context
Justin Herbert: 190.2 passing yards average (6 tracked games).
This game has started. The team stats below are the latest stored season totals, not a snapshot of what was known before kickoff. Any saved WagerLens Read above keeps its original capture time.
2026 season · 6 games
4–2
Record
19
Points / game
20.8
Allowed / game
2026 season · 6 games
0–6
Record
15
Points / game
25.2
Allowed / game
These recorded prices are shown for research only.
Open
−113
Current
−110
Change
+3
Best available moved from −113 to −110. That's a better payout, not a stronger case for Under.
Pregame research captured
Los Angeles Chargers
Rodney Shelley
CB · Hamstring ·
Brenen Thompson
WR · Quadriceps ·
Quentin Johnston
WR · Chest ·
Donte Jackson
CB · Hamstring ·
Derwin James Jr.
S · Hamstring ·
Denver Broncos
Sam Ehlinger
QB · Coach's Decision ·
Pat Surtain II
CB · Ankle ·
Riley Moss
CB · Ribs ·
Tyler Onyedim
DT · Coach's Decision ·
Jordan Jackson
DT · Coach's Decision ·
ESPN game data (opens in a new tab) ·
ESPN snapshot
Model snapshot
Denver Broncos by 0.1
ESPN model source (opens in a new tab)Chargers facing dire injury situation in Week 5 game vs. Broncos
yardbarker.com · · Availability report
The Denver Broncos are making a needed play-calling change, but it won't work until starting quarterback Bo Nix begins ripping it.
yardbarker.com · · Matchup report
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
Joe Alt
Reported context: Blocking personnel are affected; the size of the matchup impact is unknown.
Kayode Awosika
Reported context: Blocking personnel are affected; the size of the matchup impact is unknown.
Dallen Bentley
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Kage Casey
Reported context: Blocking personnel are affected; the size of the matchup impact is unknown.
Justin Herbert hit under 195.5 passing yards in 2 of his last 4 tracked games (50%).
Justin Herbert hit under 195.5 passing yards in 2 of 4 games across this season (4 games) (50% hit rate).
−110 at Fanatics is the best price attached to this check for Justin Herbert Under 195.5 passing yards right now. Prices move quickly, so compare the available books and confirm the number before betting.
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 4:05 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.