Ar'maj Reed-Adams
Reported context: Blocking personnel are affected; the size of the matchup impact is unknown.
NFL player prop NE Settled: Miss
Passing Yards
You checked 229.5, an alternate line. Most books: 226.5.
Under 229.5 passing yards
3 of 3 decided (100%) · last 3 games
Price as of Oct 4, 12:57 PM ET −113 at DraftKings
Limited sample: 3 decided games. Historical results are not a win probability.
Verified facts
Drake Maye hit under 229.5 passing yards in 3 of his last 3 tracked games (100%).
Showing saved research.
Final: 269.
Closing price −113 at DraftKings. Pregame evidence: hit 3 of 3 (100%) in the last 3.
| Date | Opponent | Line | Closing price | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET | Buffalo Bills | 229.5 | −113 | miss |
3of3
(100%)
Sep 9 – Sep 27
Passing Yards per game, oldest to newest
195.0vs 229.5 line
Based on 3 games
Drake Maye passing yards over the last 3 games versus a line of 229.5.
| Date | Opponent | Result | Passing Yards |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27 | @JAX | Hit | 199 |
| Sep 20 | vsPIT | Hit | 208 |
| Sep 9 | @SEA | Hit | 178 |
Closing price: DraftKings −113
Prices as of Oct 4, 12:57 PM ET. Compare prices at the book.
Game context
Drake Maye: 243.8 passing yards average (6 tracked games).
This game has started. The team stats below are the latest stored season totals, not a snapshot of what was known before kickoff. Any saved WagerLens Read above keeps its original capture time.
2026 season · 6 games
4–2
Record
22.7
Points / game
18.8
Allowed / game
2026 season · 6 games
5–1
Record
32.8
Points / game
28.5
Allowed / game
These recorded prices are shown for research only.
Open
−111
Current
−113
Change
−2
Best available moved from −111 to −113. That's a worse payout. The move still doesn't tell you whether Under is worth backing.
Pregame research captured
Patriots' Drake Maye responds to report about rift with Mike Vrabel, makes firm shoulder injury statement
yardbarker.com · · Availability report
Drake Maye has been cleared to play for the New England Patriots against the Buffalo Bills despite being listed on the injury report with a right shoulder issue...
yardbarker.com · · Availability report
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
Ar'maj Reed-Adams
Reported context: Blocking personnel are affected; the size of the matchup impact is unknown.
Christian Benford
Reported context: Secondary depth is affected; coverage changes are not confirmed.
A.J. Brown
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Behren Morton
Reported context: Quarterback availability affects the offense; replacement performance is not assumed.
Drake Maye hit under 229.5 passing yards in 3 of his last 3 tracked games (100%).
Drake Maye hit under 229.5 passing yards in 3 of 3 games across the last 3 games (100% hit rate).
−113 at DraftKings is the best price attached to this check for Drake Maye Under 229.5 passing yards right now. Prices move quickly, so compare the available books and confirm the number before betting.
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 1:00 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.