Jadon Canady
Reported context: Secondary depth is affected; coverage changes are not confirmed.
NFL player prop KC Settled: Hit
Passing Yards
You checked 219.5, an alternate line. Most books: 225.5.
Over 219.5 passing yards
3 of 4 decided (75%) · this season
Price as of Oct 18, 4:25 PM ET −136 at Caesars
Limited sample: 4 decided games. Historical results are not a win probability.
Verified facts
Patrick Mahomes hit over 219.5 passing yards in 3 of his last 4 tracked games (75%).
Showing saved research.
Final: 272.
Closing price −136 at Caesars. Pregame evidence: hit 3 of 3 (100%) in the last 3.
| Date | Opponent | Line | Closing price | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 4:25 PM ET | Los Angeles Chargers | 219.5 | −132 | hit |
3of4
(75%)
Sep 14 – Oct 4
Passing Yards per game, oldest to newest
259.3vs 219.5 line
Based on 4 games
Patrick Mahomes passing yards over the last 4 games versus a line of 219.5.
| Date | Opponent | Result | Passing Yards |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4 | @LV | Hit | 225 |
| Sep 27 | @MIA | Hit | 246 |
| Sep 20 | vsIND | Hit | 382 |
| Sep 14 | vsDEN | Miss | 184 |
Closing price: Caesars −136
Prices as of Oct 18, 4:25 PM ET. Compare prices at the book.
Game context
Patrick Mahomes: 261.8 passing yards average (5 tracked games).
This game has started. The team stats below are the latest stored season totals, not a snapshot of what was known before kickoff. Any saved WagerLens Read above keeps its original capture time.
2026 season · 6 games
0–6
Record
15
Points / game
25.2
Allowed / game
2026 season · 5 games
5–0
Record
28
Points / game
16.6
Allowed / game
These recorded prices are shown for research only.
Open
−132
Current
−136
Change
−4
Best available moved from −132 to −136. That's a worse payout. The move still doesn't tell you whether Over is worth backing.
Pregame research captured
Kansas City Chiefs
Josh Simmons
OT · Back ·
Jared Wiley
TE · Coach's Decision ·
Garrett Nussmeier
QB · Coach's Decision ·
Diego Pounds
OT · Coach's Decision ·
Jack Pyburn
LB · Coach's Decision ·
Los Angeles Chargers
Rodney Shelley
CB · Hamstring ·
Bud Dupree
LB · Neck ·
Tre' Harris
WR · Hamstring ·
Donte Jackson
CB · Hamstring ·
Derwin James Jr.
S · Hamstring ·
ESPN game data (opens in a new tab) ·
ESPN snapshot
Model snapshot
Kansas City Chiefs by 6.7
ESPN model source (opens in a new tab)Chargers facing dire injury situation in Week 5 game vs. Broncos
yardbarker.com · · Availability report
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
Jadon Canady
Reported context: Secondary depth is affected; coverage changes are not confirmed.
Alec Ingold
Reported context: Backfield depth is affected; replacement touches are not confirmed.
Denzel Perryman
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
Patrick Mahomes hit over 219.5 passing yards in 3 of his last 4 tracked games (75%).
Patrick Mahomes hit over 219.5 passing yards in 3 of 4 games across this season (4 games) (75% hit rate).
−136 at Caesars is the best price attached to this check for Patrick Mahomes Over 219.5 passing yards right now. Prices move quickly, so compare the available books and confirm the number before betting.
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 4:25 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.