Joe Alt
Reported context: Blocking personnel are affected; the size of the matchup impact is unknown.
NFL player prop LAC Settled: Miss
Passing Yards
You checked 174.5, an alternate line. Most books: 202.5.
Over 174.5 passing yards
4 of 4 decided (100%) · this season
Price as of Oct 11, 3:52 PM ET −220 at FanDuel
Limited sample: 4 decided games. Historical results are not a win probability.
Verified facts
Justin Herbert hit over 174.5 passing yards in 4 of his last 4 tracked games (100%).
Showing saved research.
Final: 121.
Closing price −220 at Fanatics. Pregame evidence: hit 3 of 3 (100%) in the last 3.
4of4
(100%)
Sep 13 – Oct 4
Passing Yards per game, oldest to newest
204.0vs 174.5 line
Based on 4 games
Justin Herbert passing yards over the last 4 games versus a line of 174.5.
| Date | Opponent | Result | Passing Yards |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4 | @SEA | Hit | 189 |
| Sep 27 | @BUF | Hit | 226 |
| Sep 20 | vsLV | Hit | 192 |
| Sep 13 | vsARI | Hit | 209 |
Closing price: FanDuel −220 · 20¢ better than theScore Bet
Prices as of Oct 11, 3:52 PM ET. Compare prices at the book.
Game context
Justin Herbert: 190.2 passing yards average (6 tracked games).
This game has started. The team stats below are the latest stored season totals, not a snapshot of what was known before kickoff. Any saved WagerLens Read above keeps its original capture time.
2026 season · 6 games
4–2
Record
19
Points / game
20.8
Allowed / game
2026 season · 6 games
0–6
Record
15
Points / game
25.2
Allowed / game
These recorded prices are shown for research only.
Open
−215
Current
−220
Change
−5
Best available moved from −215 to −220. That's a worse payout. The move still doesn't tell you whether Over is worth backing.
Pregame research captured
Los Angeles Chargers
Rodney Shelley
CB · Hamstring ·
Brenen Thompson
WR · Quadriceps ·
Quentin Johnston
WR · Chest ·
Donte Jackson
CB · Hamstring ·
Derwin James Jr.
S · Hamstring ·
Denver Broncos
Sam Ehlinger
QB · Coach's Decision ·
Pat Surtain II
CB · Ankle ·
Riley Moss
CB · Ribs ·
Tyler Onyedim
DT · Coach's Decision ·
Jordan Jackson
DT · Coach's Decision ·
ESPN game data (opens in a new tab) ·
ESPN snapshot
Model snapshot
Denver Broncos by 0.1
ESPN model source (opens in a new tab)Chargers facing dire injury situation in Week 5 game vs. Broncos
yardbarker.com · · Availability report
The Denver Broncos are making a needed play-calling change, but it won't work until starting quarterback Bo Nix begins ripping it.
yardbarker.com · · Matchup report
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
Joe Alt
Reported context: Blocking personnel are affected; the size of the matchup impact is unknown.
Kayode Awosika
Reported context: Blocking personnel are affected; the size of the matchup impact is unknown.
Dallen Bentley
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Kage Casey
Reported context: Blocking personnel are affected; the size of the matchup impact is unknown.
Justin Herbert hit over 174.5 passing yards in 4 of his last 4 tracked games (100%).
Justin Herbert hit over 174.5 passing yards in 4 of 4 games across this season (4 games) (100% hit rate).
−220 at FanDuel is the best price attached to this check for Justin Herbert Over 174.5 passing yards right now. Prices move quickly, so compare the available books and confirm the number before betting.
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 4:05 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.