Adonai Mitchell
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
NFL player prop NYJ Settled: Hit
Passing TDs
Under 1.5 passing tds
3 of 4 decided (75%) · this season
Price as of Oct 11, 12:53 PM ET −190 at Fanatics
Limited sample: 4 decided games. Historical results are not a win probability.
Verified facts
Geno Smith hit under 1.5 passing tds in 3 of his last 4 tracked games (75%).
Showing saved research.
Final: 1.
Closing price not available. Pregame evidence: hit 2 of 3 (67%) in the last 3.
| Date | Opponent | Line | Closing price | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 1:00 PM ET | Cleveland Browns | 1.5 | −188 | hit |
3of4
(75%)
Sep 13 – Oct 4
Passing TDs per game, oldest to newest
1.3vs 1.5 line
Based on 4 games
Geno Smith passing tds over the last 4 games versus a line of 1.5.
| Date | Opponent | Result | Passing TDs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4 | @CHI | Hit | 1 |
| Sep 27 | @DET | Miss | 3 |
| Sep 20 | vsGB | Hit | 1 |
| Sep 13 | @TEN | Hit | 0 |
Closing price: Fanatics −190 · 45¢ better than BetRivers
Prices as of Oct 11, 12:53 PM ET. Compare prices at the book.
Over +157
Over +165
Game context
Geno Smith: 1.2 passing touchdowns average (6 tracked games).
This game has started. The team stats below are the latest stored season totals, not a snapshot of what was known before kickoff. Any saved WagerLens Read above keeps its original capture time.
2026 season · 6 games
4–2
Record
17.7
Points / game
20.3
Allowed / game
2026 season · 6 games
2–4
Record
18.7
Points / game
20.3
Allowed / game
These recorded prices are shown for research only.
Open
−200
Current
−190
Change
+10
Best available moved from −200 to −190. That's a better payout, not a stronger case for Under.
Pregame research captured
Browns announce Dillon Gabriel move before Jets game Now Gabriel can practice again
Browns announce Dillon Gabriel move before Jets game Now Gabriel can practice again
yardbarker.com · · Availability report
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
Adonai Mitchell
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Braiden McGregor
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
Carsen Ryan
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Dillon Gabriel
Reported context: Quarterback availability affects the offense; replacement performance is not assumed.
Geno Smith hit under 1.5 passing tds in 3 of his last 4 tracked games (75%).
Geno Smith hit under 1.5 passing tds in 3 of 4 games across this season (4 games) (75% hit rate).
−190 at Fanatics is the best price attached to this check for Geno Smith Under 1.5 passing tds right now. Prices move quickly, so compare the available books and confirm the number before betting.
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 1:00 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.