Divine Deablo
out
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
NFL player prop KC Pending
Patrick Mahomes Over 1.5 Passing TDs vs. Falcons
The bet: Over 1.5 passing tds
KC@ATL Nov 15, 1:00 PM ET
Cleared 1.5 in 5 of his last 7
Last 7 gamesSep 20 to Nov 8L7 average 1.7
Oldest to newest
Past results, not a forecast.
Showing saved research.
All games and results for this betHit rate vs the line
5of7
(71%)
Sep 20 – Nov 8
- 3
- 2
- 2
- 0
- 0
- 3
- 2
Passing TDs per game, oldest to newest
L7 average
1.7vs 1.5 line
Based on 7 games
Game results
Patrick Mahomes passing tds over the last 7 games versus a line of 1.5.
Results versus the line
HitMissLine 1.5
Game log · L7, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Result | Passing TDs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | vsNYJ | Hit | 2 |
| Nov 1 | @DEN | Hit | 3 |
| Oct 25 | @SEA | Miss | 0 |
| Oct 18 | vsLAC | Miss | 0 |
| Oct 4 | @LV | Hit | 2 |
| Sep 27 | @MIA | Hit | 2 |
| Sep 20 | vsIND | Hit | 3 |
Matchup and team comparison
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
Patrick Mahomes
- Passing touchdowns per game
- 1.8
Season · 8 games
Patrick Mahomes
MAHOMES · COMPLETIONS PER GAME
22.1per game
2026 regular season8 games
Atlanta Falcons
ATL allows
1.6pass TDs allowed/game to QBs
T-15th most (L4: T-7th fewest)9 games
ATL PASS RUSH
2.6sacks/game by ATL defense
Last 5 games
Market movement
Price history
Over 1.5 passing tds
Best price
Odds format
Open
−125
Current
−130
Change
−5
Best available moved from −125 to −130. That pays $3.08 less on a $100 bet than at open.
News and availability
Availability and reports
The latest saved updates may be out of date.
Research refreshed
Latest sourced reports
- Chiefs' Patrick Mahomes 'in a great spot' for Falcons game after injury scare (opens in a new tab)
Chiefs' Patrick Mahomes 'in a great spot' for Falcons game
The Kansas City Chiefs experienced a significant injury scare when quarterback Patrick Mahomes seemed to hurt his elbow.
yardbarker.com · · Availability report
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
Atlanta Falcons
Zachariah Branch
out
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Kansas City Chiefs
Jaylon Moore
out
Reported context: Blocking personnel are affected; the size of the matchup impact is unknown.
Kenneth Walker III
out
Reported context: Backfield depth is affected; replacement touches are not confirmed.
Related checks
Keep researching
Frequently asked
What does the data say about Patrick Mahomes Over 1.5 passing tds at this number?
What is the historical hit rate for Patrick Mahomes Over 1.5 passing tds?
Patrick Mahomes hit over 1.5 passing tds in 5 of 7 games across the last 7 games (71% hit rate).
When does this bet resolve?
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 1:00 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.