Andrew Billings
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
NFL player prop DET Settled: Hit
Passing TDs
You checked 0.5, an alternate line. Most books: 2.5.
Over 0.5 passing tds
4 of 4 decided (100%) · this season
Price as of Oct 11, 4:18 PM ET −1700 at Caesars
Limited sample: 4 decided games. Historical results are not a win probability.
Verified facts
Jared Goff hit over 0.5 passing tds in 4 of his last 4 tracked games (100%).
Showing saved research.
Final: 3.
Closing price −1700 at Caesars. Pregame evidence: hit 3 of 3 (100%) in the last 3.
| Date | Opponent | Line | Closing price | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 4:25 PM ET | Arizona Cardinals | 0.5 | −1700 | hit |
| Oct 4, 8:20 PM ET | Carolina Panthers | 0.5 | −1200 | hit |
4of4
(100%)
Sep 13 – Oct 4
Passing TDs per game, oldest to newest
2.3vs 0.5 line
Based on 4 games
Jared Goff passing tds over the last 4 games versus a line of 0.5.
| Date | Opponent | Result | Passing TDs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4 | @CAR | Hit | 1 |
| Sep 27 | vsNYJ | Hit | 2 |
| Sep 17 | @BUF | Hit | 4 |
| Sep 13 | vsNO | Hit | 2 |
Closing price: Caesars −1700 · 1635¢ better than BetRivers
Prices as of Oct 11, 4:18 PM ET. Compare prices at the book.
Game context
Jared Goff: 2.4 passing touchdowns average (5 tracked games).
This game has started. The team stats below are the latest stored season totals, not a snapshot of what was known before kickoff. Any saved WagerLens Read above keeps its original capture time.
2026 season · 5 games
3–2
Record
32.8
Points / game
29.6
Allowed / game
2026 season · 6 games
2–4
Record
21
Points / game
29.7
Allowed / game
These recorded prices are shown for research only.
Open
−2200
Current
−1700
Change
+500
Best available moved from −2200 to −1700. That's a better payout, not a stronger case for Over.
Pregame research captured
adding veteran offensive lineman Matt Pryor off the Arizona Cardinals’ practice squad
off the Arizona Cardinals’ practice squad
yardbarker.com · · Availability report
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
Andrew Billings
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
Andrew Wingard
Reported context: Secondary depth is affected; coverage changes are not confirmed.
Ahmed Hassanein
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
Ben Bartch
Reported context: Blocking personnel are affected; the size of the matchup impact is unknown.
Jared Goff hit over 0.5 passing tds in 4 of his last 4 tracked games (100%).
Jared Goff hit over 0.5 passing tds in 4 of 4 games across this season (4 games) (100% hit rate).
−1700 at Caesars is the best price attached to this check for Jared Goff Over 0.5 passing tds right now. Prices move quickly, so compare the available books and confirm the number before betting.
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 4:25 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.