A.J. Brown
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
NFL player prop NE Settled: Hit
Passing TDs
Over 1.5 passing tds
1 of 4 decided (25%) · this season
Price as of Oct 11, 1:01 PM ET −115 at BetMGM
Limited sample: 4 decided games. Historical results are not a win probability.
Verified facts
Drake Maye hit over 1.5 passing tds in 1 of his last 4 tracked games (25%).
Showing saved research.
Final: 4.
Closing price not available. Pregame evidence: hit 1 of 1 (100%) in the last 1.
| Date | Opponent | Line | Closing price | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 1:00 PM ET | Las Vegas Raiders | 1.5 | −115 | hit |
| Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET | Buffalo Bills | 1.5 | +139 | hit |
| Sep 9, 8:20 PM ET | Seattle Seahawks | 1.5 | +150 | miss |
1of4
(25%)
Sep 9 – Oct 4
Passing TDs per game, oldest to newest
1.0vs 1.5 line
Based on 4 games
Drake Maye passing tds over the last 4 games versus a line of 1.5.
| Date | Opponent | Result | Passing TDs |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4 | @BUF | Hit | 3 |
| Sep 27 | @JAX | Miss | 0 |
| Sep 20 | vsPIT | Miss | 0 |
| Sep 9 | @SEA | Miss | 1 |
Closing price: BetMGM −115 · 10¢ better than Fanatics
Prices as of Oct 11, 1:01 PM ET. Compare prices at the book.
Game context
Drake Maye: 1.8 passing touchdowns average (6 tracked games).
This game has started. The team stats below are the latest stored season totals, not a snapshot of what was known before kickoff. Any saved WagerLens Read above keeps its original capture time.
2026 season · 6 games
3–3
Record
27
Points / game
27
Allowed / game
2026 season · 6 games
4–2
Record
22.7
Points / game
18.8
Allowed / game
These recorded prices are shown for research only.
Open
−102
Current
−115
Change
−13
Best available moved from −102 to −115. That's a worse payout. The move still doesn't tell you whether Over is worth backing.
Pregame research captured
The Las Vegas Raiders will play the New England Patriots on Sunday, and both teams are dealing with injuries.
The Las Vegas Raiders will play the New England Patriots on Sunday, and both teams are dealing with injuries.
yardbarker.com · · Availability report
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
A.J. Brown
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Behren Morton
Reported context: Quarterback availability affects the offense; replacement performance is not assumed.
Aidan O'Connell
Reported context: Quarterback availability affects the offense; replacement performance is not assumed.
Dalton Johnson
Reported context: Secondary depth is affected; coverage changes are not confirmed.
Drake Maye hit over 1.5 passing tds in 1 of his last 4 tracked games (25%).
Drake Maye hit over 1.5 passing tds in 1 of 4 games across this season (4 games) (25% hit rate).
−115 at BetMGM is the best price attached to this check for Drake Maye Over 1.5 passing tds right now. Prices move quickly, so compare the available books and confirm the number before betting.
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 1:00 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.