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NFL player prop CHI Pending

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Caleb Williams Over 0.5 Passing TDs

The bet: Over 0.5 passing tds

You checked 0.5, an alternate line. Most books: 1.5.

TB@CHI Nov 8, 8:20 PM ET

Cleared 0.5 in 4 of his last 5

4of5(80%)

Last 5 gamesSep 13 to Nov 2L5 average 1.2

Oldest to newest

Past results, not a forecast.

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Past games

DateOpponentLineActualClosing priceResult
Nov 2, 8:20 PM ETSeattle SeahawksOver 0.5 passing tds1 passing tds−425hit
Sep 20, 1:00 PM ETMinnesota VikingsOver 0.5 passing tds0 passing tds−650miss

Hit rate vs the line

4of5

(80%)

Sep 13 – Nov 2

  1. 2
  2. 0
  3. 1
  4. 2
  5. 1

Passing TDs per game, oldest to newest

L5 average

1.2vs 0.5 line

Based on 5 games

Game results

Caleb Williams passing tds over the last 5 games versus a line of 0.5.

Results versus the line

L5
HitMissLine 0.5
Game log · L5, newest first
DateOpponentResultPassing TDs
Nov 2@SEA
Hit
1
Oct 22vsNE
Hit
2
Oct 18@ATL
Hit
1
Sep 20vsMIN
Miss
0
Sep 13@CAR
Hit
2

Matchup and team comparison

Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.

Caleb Williams

Passing touchdowns per game

Season · 5 games

1.2

Caleb Williams

WILLIAMS · COMPLETIONS PER GAME

22.4per game

2026 regular season5 games

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

TB allows

1.3pass TDs allowed/game to QBs

T-8th fewest (L4: T-6th fewest)8 games

TB PASS RUSH

2.0sacks/game by TB defense

Last 5 games

Market movement

News and availability

Matchup updates

News check is unavailable right now.

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Frequently asked

What does the data say about Caleb Williams Over 0.5 passing tds at this number?

Caleb Williams hit over 0.5 passing tds in 4 of his last 5 tracked games (80%). Best price is −900 at Fanatics.

What is the historical hit rate for Caleb Williams Over 0.5 passing tds?

Caleb Williams hit over 0.5 passing tds in 4 of 5 games across the last 5 games (80% hit rate).

What is the best price for Caleb Williams Over 0.5 passing tds?

−900 at Fanatics is the best price attached to this check for Caleb Williams Over 0.5 passing tds right now. Prices move quickly, so compare the available books and confirm the number before betting.

When does this bet resolve?

Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 8:20 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.

How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?

We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.

Research, not a pick.

We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.

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