Braxton Jones
out
Reported context: Blocking personnel are affected; the size of the matchup impact is unknown.
NFL player prop CHI Pending
Upcoming check
Caleb Williams Over 258.5 Pass + Rush Yards
The bet: Over 258.5 pass + rush yards
You checked 258.5, an alternate line. Most books: 269.5.
TB@CHI Nov 8, 8:20 PM ET
Cleared 258.5 in 3 of his last 5
Last 5 gamesSep 13 to Nov 2L5 average 279.2
Oldest to newest
Past results, not a forecast.
This week's line isn't posted yet
Check back closer to kickoff for his current price. Past games are listed below.
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Past games
| Date | Opponent | Line | Actual | Closing price | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 8:20 PM ET | Seattle Seahawks | Over 258.5 pass + rush yards | 248 pass + rush yards | −105 | miss |
Hit rate vs the line
3of5
(60%)
Sep 13 – Nov 2
- 334
- 180
- 308
- 326
- 248
Pass + Rush Yards per game, oldest to newest
L5 average
279.2vs 258.5 line
Based on 5 games
Game results
Caleb Williams pass + rush yards over the last 5 games versus a line of 258.5.
Results versus the line
HitMissLine 258.5
Game log · L5, newest first
| Date | Opponent | Result | Pass + Rush Yards |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2 | @SEA | Miss | 248 |
| Oct 22 | vsNE | Hit | 326 |
| Oct 18 | @ATL | Hit | 308 |
| Sep 20 | vsMIN | Miss | 180 |
| Sep 13 | @CAR | Hit | 334 |
Matchup and team comparison
Compare the player's chances and results with what the opponent allows. Each statistic shows its own sample.
Caleb Williams
- Passing + rushing yards per game
- 279.2
Season · 5 games
Caleb Williams
WILLIAMS · TEAM CARRY SHARE
15.5%
2026 regular season5 games
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
TB allows
220.1pass yds allowed/game to QBs
9th fewest (L4: 9th fewest)8 games
TB PASS RUSH
2.0sacks/game by TB defense
Last 5 games
Market movement
News and availability
Availability and reports
Research refreshed
Latest sourced reports
- Caleb Williams’ latest evolution under Ben Johnson is flying under the radar but it’s putting the Bears QB back in the MVP picture (opens in a new tab)
Caleb Williams is playing a lot more boring football since returning from his hamstring injury
Caleb Williams is playing a lot more boring football since returning from his hamstring injury
yardbarker.com · · Availability report
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
Chicago Bears
Kentavius Street
out
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Jalen McMillan
out
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Yaya Diaby
out
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
Related checks
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Frequently asked
What does the data say about Caleb Williams Over 258.5 pass + rush yards at this number?
What is the historical hit rate for Caleb Williams Over 258.5 pass + rush yards?
Caleb Williams hit over 258.5 pass + rush yards in 3 of 5 games across the last 5 games (60% hit rate).
When does this bet resolve?
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 8:20 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens evaluate this bet?
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.