Adonai Mitchell
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
NFL player prop NYJ Settled: Hit
Pass Completions
Under 19.5 pass completions
2 of 4 decided (50%) · this season
Price as of Oct 11, 12:53 PM ET −108 at DraftKings
Limited sample: 4 decided games. Historical results are not a win probability.
Verified facts
Geno Smith hit under 19.5 pass completions in 2 of his last 4 tracked games (50%).
Showing saved research.
Final: 17.
Closing price −108 at DraftKings. Pregame evidence: hit 1 of 1 (100%) in the last 1.
| Date | Opponent | Line | Closing price | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 1:00 PM ET | Cleveland Browns | 19.5 | −108 | hit |
2of4
(50%)
Sep 13 – Oct 4
Pass Completions per game, oldest to newest
21.3vs 19.5 line
Based on 4 games
Geno Smith pass completions over the last 4 games versus a line of 19.5.
| Date | Opponent | Result | Pass Completions |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4 | @CHI | Hit | 8 |
| Sep 27 | @DET | Miss | 31 |
| Sep 20 | vsGB | Miss | 27 |
| Sep 13 | @TEN | Hit | 19 |
Closing price: DraftKings −108 · 17¢ better than BetMGM
Prices as of Oct 11, 12:53 PM ET. Compare prices at the book.
Over −152
Over −120
Game context
Geno Smith: 20.3 completions average (6 tracked games).
This game has started. The team stats below are the latest stored season totals, not a snapshot of what was known before kickoff. Any saved WagerLens Read above keeps its original capture time.
2026 season · 6 games
4–2
Record
17.7
Points / game
20.3
Allowed / game
2026 season · 6 games
2–4
Record
18.7
Points / game
20.3
Allowed / game
These recorded prices are shown for research only.
Open
−105
Current
−108
Change
−3
Best available moved from −105 to −108. That's a worse payout. The move still doesn't tell you whether Under is worth backing.
Pregame research captured
Browns announce Dillon Gabriel move before Jets game Now Gabriel can practice again
Browns announce Dillon Gabriel move before Jets game Now Gabriel can practice again
yardbarker.com · · Availability report
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
Adonai Mitchell
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Braiden McGregor
Reported context: Front-seven depth is affected; pressure and run-defense effects are not quantified.
Carsen Ryan
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Dillon Gabriel
Reported context: Quarterback availability affects the offense; replacement performance is not assumed.
Geno Smith hit under 19.5 pass completions in 2 of his last 4 tracked games (50%).
Geno Smith hit under 19.5 pass completions in 2 of 4 games across this season (4 games) (50% hit rate).
−108 at DraftKings is the best price attached to this check for Geno Smith Under 19.5 pass completions right now. Prices move quickly, so compare the available books and confirm the number before betting.
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 1:00 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.