Joe Alt
Reported context: Blocking personnel are affected; the size of the matchup impact is unknown.
NFL player prop LAC Settled: Hit
Pass Completions
You checked 13.5, an alternate line. Most books: 18.5.
Over 13.5 pass completions
4 of 4 decided (100%) · this season
Price as of Oct 11, 3:52 PM ET −970 at DraftKings
Limited sample: 4 decided games. Historical results are not a win probability.
Verified facts
Justin Herbert hit over 13.5 pass completions in 4 of his last 4 tracked games (100%).
Showing saved research.
Final: 14.
Closing price not available. Pregame evidence: hit 3 of 3 (100%) in the last 3.
| Date | Opponent | Line | Closing price | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 4:05 PM ET | Denver Broncos | 13.5 | −970 | hit |
4of4
(100%)
Sep 13 – Oct 4
Pass Completions per game, oldest to newest
17.8vs 13.5 line
Based on 4 games
Justin Herbert pass completions over the last 4 games versus a line of 13.5.
| Date | Opponent | Result | Pass Completions |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 4 | @SEA | Hit | 19 |
| Sep 27 | @BUF | Hit | 20 |
| Sep 20 | vsLV | Hit | 15 |
| Sep 13 | vsARI | Hit | 17 |
Closing price: DraftKings −970
Prices as of Oct 11, 3:52 PM ET. Compare prices at the book.
Game context
Justin Herbert: 17.8 completions average (6 tracked games).
This game has started. The team stats below are the latest stored season totals, not a snapshot of what was known before kickoff. Any saved WagerLens Read above keeps its original capture time.
2026 season · 6 games
4–2
Record
19
Points / game
20.8
Allowed / game
2026 season · 6 games
0–6
Record
15
Points / game
25.2
Allowed / game
These recorded prices are shown for research only.
Open
−960
Current
−970
Change
−10
Best available moved from −960 to −970. The best available price is basically unchanged. That doesn't make the case for or against Over.
Pregame research captured
Los Angeles Chargers
Rodney Shelley
CB · Hamstring ·
Brenen Thompson
WR · Quadriceps ·
Quentin Johnston
WR · Chest ·
Donte Jackson
CB · Hamstring ·
Derwin James Jr.
S · Hamstring ·
Denver Broncos
Sam Ehlinger
QB · Coach's Decision ·
Pat Surtain II
CB · Ankle ·
Riley Moss
CB · Ribs ·
Tyler Onyedim
DT · Coach's Decision ·
Jordan Jackson
DT · Coach's Decision ·
ESPN game data (opens in a new tab) ·
ESPN snapshot
Model snapshot
Denver Broncos by 0.1
ESPN model source (opens in a new tab)Chargers facing dire injury situation in Week 5 game vs. Broncos
yardbarker.com · · Availability report
The Denver Broncos are making a needed play-calling change, but it won't work until starting quarterback Bo Nix begins ripping it.
yardbarker.com · · Matchup report
These are injury reports, not a ranking of betting impact.
Joe Alt
Reported context: Blocking personnel are affected; the size of the matchup impact is unknown.
Kayode Awosika
Reported context: Blocking personnel are affected; the size of the matchup impact is unknown.
Dallen Bentley
Reported context: Receiving options are affected; target redistribution is not confirmed.
Kage Casey
Reported context: Blocking personnel are affected; the size of the matchup impact is unknown.
Justin Herbert hit over 13.5 pass completions in 4 of his last 4 tracked games (100%).
Justin Herbert hit over 13.5 pass completions in 4 of 4 games across this season (4 games) (100% hit rate).
−970 at DraftKings is the best price attached to this check for Justin Herbert Over 13.5 pass completions right now. Prices move quickly, so compare the available books and confirm the number before betting.
Grades on the official box score after the game (scheduled for 4:05 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
We compare recent hit rate, supporting stats, lineup context when available, and the current market price. We account for the sportsbook's margin when comparing prices. The summary shows the data, not a certain outcome.
Research, not a pick.
We show the sample, the line and the price. You make the call.