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Trevor Rogers

Outs·Under 16.5·BAL @ BOS

1:36 PM ET

WagerLens Take

Is Trevor Rogers Under 16.5 Outs a good bet at this number?

Lean Under

Trevor Rogers has hit the under 16.5 in 6 of 7 recent games (86%). Lean under. Small sample — only 7 games of tracked data.

Best Over

−105· BetRivers

Best Under

−135· DraftKings

Updated 1h ago·Thin sample · 7 games·Methodology →

Trevor Rogers vs 16.5: recent track record

Recent games for Trevor Rogers outs vs line 16.5.

Recent games vs line

The hit rate breakdown

Over
EV -8.0%
Fresh 51 min ago
L520%(1/5)
L1040%(4/10)
Under
EV -6.5%
Fresh 1h ago
L580%(4/5)
L1060%(6/10)
Season86%(6/7)

Games Played

10

ERA

7.12

Outs L1

18

Outs Avg L3

14.333

Outs Avg L5

12

Outs Avg L7

12.714

Outs Avg L10

14.6

Outs Avg

14.6

Line movement on this prop

Line movement for both sides of the bet, plus best available over vs under over time.

Price history for the Over

Trevor Rogers 17+ Outs

6 updates2 books tracked

Price history for the Under

Trevor Rogers Under 16.5 Outs

4 updates1 books tracked

Best over vs best under for this line

Frequently asked

Is Trevor Rogers Under 16.5 Outs a good bet at this number?

Trevor Rogers has hit the under 16.5 in 6 of 7 recent games (86%). Lean under. Small sample — only 7 games of tracked data.

What is Trevor Rogers's hit rate on this prop?

Trevor Rogers went Under 16.5 in 6 of 7 tracked games — 86% at this line. That's one signal. We also check the season baseline and whether the current price beats our fair-value estimate.

What is the best price on Trevor Rogers Under 16.5?

−135 at DraftKings is the best we're seeing right now across seven books (DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, BetRivers, theScore Bet, Pinnacle). Line shopping matters — the spread across books on a single prop usually runs 15–20 cents. Always take the top of the market.

When does this prop resolve?

Grades on the official box score after BAL @ BOS (scheduled for 1:36 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.

How does WagerLens decide whether a prop is worth betting?

We look at hit rate (last 10 and last 30), the full-season baseline, and how the prop is priced across seven books. We strip the vig to find a fair price and compare that to the best price available. If the offered price beats fair, we call it a lean. If not, we pass — and we pass a lot. A bad price is still a bad price, even when the player is on a run.