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Sean Manaea

Outs·Under 16.5·KC @ NYM

1:11 PM ET

WagerLens Take

Is Sean Manaea Under 16.5 Outs a good bet at this number?

Lean Under

Sean Manaea cleared the under 16.5 in their last game. Lean under. Small sample — only 10 games of tracked data.

Best Over

−102· Caesars

Best Under

−122· FanDuel

Updated 29 min ago·Thin sample · 10 games·Methodology →

Sean Manaea vs 16.5: recent track record

Recent games for Sean Manaea outs vs line 16.5.

Recent games vs line

The hit rate breakdown

Over
EV -4.5%
Fresh 29 min ago
L540%(2/5)
L1020%(2/10)
Under
EV -4.6%
Fresh 29 min ago
L560%(3/5)
L1080%(8/10)
Season80%(8/10)

Games Played

19

ERA

4.97

Outs L1

15

Outs Avg L3

13.667

Outs Avg L5

15

Outs Avg L7

14.571

Outs Avg L10

13.4

Outs Avg

10.737

Line movement on this prop

Line movement for both sides of the bet, plus best available over vs under over time.

Price history for the Over

Sean Manaea 17+ Outs

27 updates6 books tracked

Price history for the Under

Sean Manaea Under 16.5 Outs

23 updates5 books tracked

Best over vs best under for this line

Frequently asked

Is Sean Manaea Under 16.5 Outs a good bet at this number?

Sean Manaea cleared the under 16.5 in their last game. Lean under. Small sample — only 10 games of tracked data.

What is Sean Manaea's hit rate on this prop?

Sean Manaea went Under 16.5 in 8 of 10 tracked games — 80% at this line. That's one signal. We also check the season baseline and whether the current price beats our fair-value estimate.

What is the best price on Sean Manaea Under 16.5?

−122 at FanDuel is the best we're seeing right now across seven books (DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, BetRivers, theScore Bet, Pinnacle). Line shopping matters — the spread across books on a single prop usually runs 15–20 cents. Always take the top of the market.

When does this prop resolve?

Grades on the official box score after KC @ NYM (scheduled for 1:11 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.

How does WagerLens decide whether a prop is worth betting?

We look at hit rate (last 10 and last 30), the full-season baseline, and how the prop is priced across seven books. We strip the vig to find a fair price and compare that to the best price available. If the offered price beats fair, we call it a lean. If not, we pass — and we pass a lot. A bad price is still a bad price, even when the player is on a run.