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Sean Manaea headshot

Sean Manaea

Outs·Under 15.5·NYM @ PHI

6:41 PM ET

WagerLens Take

Is Sean Manaea Under 15.5 Outs a good bet at this number?

Lean Under

Sean Manaea has hit the under 15.5 in 9 of 10 recent games (90%). Lean under. Small sample — only 10 games of tracked data.

Best Over

+145· Caesars

Best Under

−190· theScore Bet

Updated 1h ago·Thin sample · 10 games·Methodology →

Sean Manaea vs 15.5: recent track record

Recent games for Sean Manaea outs vs line 15.5.

Recent games vs line

The hit rate breakdown

Over
EV -3.5%
Fresh 1h ago
L520%(1/5)
L1010%(1/10)
Under
EV +1.3%
Fresh 1h ago
L580%(4/5)
L1090%(9/10)
Season90%(9/10)

Games Played

15

ERA

4.99

Outs L1

18

Outs Avg L3

15

Outs Avg L5

13

Outs Avg L7

11.429

Outs Avg L10

9.9

Outs Avg

9.8

Line movement on this prop

Line movement for both sides of the bet, plus best available over vs under over time.

Price history for the Over

Sean Manaea 16+ Outs

10 updates5 books tracked

Price history for the Under

Sean Manaea Under 15.5 Outs

9 updates4 books tracked

Best over vs best under for this line

Frequently asked

Is Sean Manaea Under 15.5 Outs a good bet at this number?

Sean Manaea has hit the under 15.5 in 9 of 10 recent games (90%). Lean under. Small sample — only 10 games of tracked data.

What is Sean Manaea's hit rate on this prop?

Sean Manaea went Under 15.5 in 9 of 10 tracked games — 90% at this line. That's one signal. We also check the season baseline and whether the current price beats our fair-value estimate.

What is the best price on Sean Manaea Under 15.5?

−190 at theScore Bet is the best we're seeing right now across seven books (DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, BetRivers, theScore Bet, Pinnacle). Line shopping matters — the spread across books on a single prop usually runs 15–20 cents. Always take the top of the market.

When does this prop resolve?

Grades on the official box score after NYM @ PHI (scheduled for 6:41 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.

How does WagerLens decide whether a prop is worth betting?

We look at hit rate (last 10 and last 30), the full-season baseline, and how the prop is priced across seven books. We strip the vig to find a fair price and compare that to the best price available. If the offered price beats fair, we call it a lean. If not, we pass — and we pass a lot. A bad price is still a bad price, even when the player is on a run.