Michael Lorenzen
Outs·Under 15.5·PIT @ COL
3:11 PM ET
Is Michael Lorenzen Under 15.5 Outs a good bet at this number?
Michael Lorenzen has hit the under 15.5 in 7 of 7 recent games (100%). Lean under. Small sample — only 7 games of tracked data.
Best Over
+120· Caesars
Best Under
−130· BetMGM
Michael Lorenzen vs 15.5: recent track record
Recent games for Michael Lorenzen outs vs line 15.5.
Recent games vs line
The hit rate breakdown
Games Played
16
ERA
7.4
Outs L1
15
Outs Avg L3
13.333
Outs Avg L5
13.2
Outs Avg L7
13.571
Outs Avg L10
14.7
Outs Avg
13.25
Line movement on this prop
Line movement for both sides of the bet, plus best available over vs under over time.
Price history for the Over
Michael Lorenzen 16+ Outs
Price history for the Under
Michael Lorenzen Under 15.5 Outs
Best over vs best under for this line
Frequently asked
Is Michael Lorenzen Under 15.5 Outs a good bet at this number?
Michael Lorenzen has hit the under 15.5 in 7 of 7 recent games (100%). Lean under. Small sample — only 7 games of tracked data.
What is Michael Lorenzen's hit rate on this prop?
Michael Lorenzen went Under 15.5 in 7 of 7 tracked games — 100% at this line. That's one signal. We also check the season baseline and whether the current price beats our fair-value estimate.
What is the best price on Michael Lorenzen Under 15.5?
−130 at BetMGM is the best we're seeing right now across seven books (DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, BetRivers, theScore Bet, Pinnacle). Line shopping matters — the spread across books on a single prop usually runs 15–20 cents. Always take the top of the market.
When does this prop resolve?
Grades on the official box score after PIT @ COL (scheduled for 3:11 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens decide whether a prop is worth betting?
We look at hit rate (last 10 and last 30), the full-season baseline, and how the prop is priced across seven books. We strip the vig to find a fair price and compare that to the best price available. If the offered price beats fair, we call it a lean. If not, we pass — and we pass a lot. A bad price is still a bad price, even when the player is on a run.