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Michael Lorenzen headshot

Michael Lorenzen

Outs·Under 15.5·CHC @ COL

8:41 PM ET

WagerLens Take

Is Michael Lorenzen Under 15.5 Outs a good bet at this number?

Lean Under

Michael Lorenzen has hit the under 15.5 in 5 of 5 recent games (100%). Lean under. Small sample — only 5 games of tracked data.

Best Over

+113· DraftKings

Best Under

−150· DraftKings

Updated 15h ago·Thin sample · 5 games·Methodology →

Michael Lorenzen vs 15.5: recent track record

Recent games for Michael Lorenzen outs vs line 15.5.

Recent games vs line

The hit rate breakdown

Over
EV -6.5%
Fresh 15h ago
L50%(0/5)
L1020%(2/10)
Under
EV -6.5%
Fresh 15h ago
L5100%(5/5)
L1080%(8/10)
Season100%(5/5)

Games Played

14

ERA

8.36

Outs L1

10

Outs Avg L3

12

Outs Avg L5

13

Outs Avg L7

13.714

Outs Avg L10

14

Outs Avg

13

Line movement on this prop

Line movement for both sides of the bet, plus best available over vs under over time.

Price history for the Over

Over-side history by book is not available yet.

Price history for the Under

Under-side history by book is not available yet.

Best over vs best under for this line

Best over vs under history is not available for this line yet.

Frequently asked

Is Michael Lorenzen Under 15.5 Outs a good bet at this number?

Michael Lorenzen has hit the under 15.5 in 5 of 5 recent games (100%). Lean under. Small sample — only 5 games of tracked data.

What is Michael Lorenzen's hit rate on this prop?

Michael Lorenzen went Under 15.5 in 5 of 5 tracked games — 100% at this line. That's one signal. We also check the season baseline and whether the current price beats our fair-value estimate.

What is the best price on Michael Lorenzen Under 15.5?

−150 at DraftKings is the best we're seeing right now across seven books (DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, BetRivers, theScore Bet, Pinnacle). Line shopping matters — the spread across books on a single prop usually runs 15–20 cents. Always take the top of the market.

When does this prop resolve?

Grades on the official box score after CHC @ COL (scheduled for 8:41 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.

How does WagerLens decide whether a prop is worth betting?

We look at hit rate (last 10 and last 30), the full-season baseline, and how the prop is priced across seven books. We strip the vig to find a fair price and compare that to the best price available. If the offered price beats fair, we call it a lean. If not, we pass — and we pass a lot. A bad price is still a bad price, even when the player is on a run.