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Matthew Liberatore headshot

Matthew Liberatore

Outs·Under 16.5·STL @ KC

7:41 PM ET

WagerLens Take

Is Matthew Liberatore Under 16.5 Outs a good bet at this number?

Lean Under

Matthew Liberatore has hit the under 16.5 in 5 of 5 recent games (100%). Lean under. Small sample — only 5 games of tracked data.

Best Over

−102· Pinnacle

Best Under

−129· Pinnacle

Updated 5h ago·Thin sample · 5 games·Methodology →

Matthew Liberatore vs 16.5: recent track record

Recent games for Matthew Liberatore outs vs line 16.5.

Recent games vs line

The hit rate breakdown

Over
EV -3.4%
Fresh 5h ago
L50%(0/5)
L1030%(3/10)
Under
EV -4.4%
Fresh 5h ago
L5100%(5/5)
L1070%(7/10)
Season100%(5/5)

Games Played

14

ERA

4.84

Outs L1

13

Outs Avg L3

14

Outs Avg L5

14.2

Outs Avg L7

14.857

Outs Avg L10

14.9

Outs Avg

15.143

Line movement on this prop

Line movement for both sides of the bet, plus best available over vs under over time.

Price history for the Over

Matthew Liberatore 17+ Outs

3 updates3 books tracked

Price history for the Under

Matthew Liberatore Under 16.5 Outs

3 updates3 books tracked

Best over vs best under for this line

Frequently asked

Is Matthew Liberatore Under 16.5 Outs a good bet at this number?

Matthew Liberatore has hit the under 16.5 in 5 of 5 recent games (100%). Lean under. Small sample — only 5 games of tracked data.

What is Matthew Liberatore's hit rate on this prop?

Matthew Liberatore went Under 16.5 in 5 of 5 tracked games — 100% at this line. That's one signal. We also check the season baseline and whether the current price beats our fair-value estimate.

What is the best price on Matthew Liberatore Under 16.5?

−129 at Pinnacle is the best we're seeing right now across seven books (DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, BetRivers, theScore Bet, Pinnacle). Line shopping matters — the spread across books on a single prop usually runs 15–20 cents. Always take the top of the market.

When does this prop resolve?

Grades on the official box score after STL @ KC (scheduled for 7:41 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.

How does WagerLens decide whether a prop is worth betting?

We look at hit rate (last 10 and last 30), the full-season baseline, and how the prop is priced across seven books. We strip the vig to find a fair price and compare that to the best price available. If the offered price beats fair, we call it a lean. If not, we pass — and we pass a lot. A bad price is still a bad price, even when the player is on a run.