Jesus Luzardo
Outs·Under 18.5·PHI @ WAS
6:46 PM ET
Is Jesus Luzardo Under 18.5 Outs a good bet at this number?
Jesus Luzardo has hit the under 18.5 in 6 of 7 recent games (86%). Lean under. Small sample — only 7 games of tracked data.
Best Over
+167· Pinnacle
Best Under
−170· DraftKings
Jesus Luzardo vs 18.5: recent track record
Recent games for Jesus Luzardo outs vs line 18.5.
Recent games vs line
The hit rate breakdown
Games Played
15
ERA
4.33
Outs L1
21
Outs Avg L3
18.667
Outs Avg L5
18
Outs Avg L7
18
Outs Avg L10
17.5
Outs Avg
17.133
Line movement on this prop
Line movement for both sides of the bet, plus best available over vs under over time.
Price history for the Over
Jesus Luzardo 19+ Outs
Price history for the Under
Jesus Luzardo Under 18.5 Outs
Best over vs best under for this line
Frequently asked
Is Jesus Luzardo Under 18.5 Outs a good bet at this number?
Jesus Luzardo has hit the under 18.5 in 6 of 7 recent games (86%). Lean under. Small sample — only 7 games of tracked data.
What is Jesus Luzardo's hit rate on this prop?
Jesus Luzardo went Under 18.5 in 6 of 7 tracked games — 86% at this line. That's one signal. We also check the season baseline and whether the current price beats our fair-value estimate.
What is the best price on Jesus Luzardo Under 18.5?
−170 at DraftKings is the best we're seeing right now across seven books (DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, BetRivers, theScore Bet, Pinnacle). Line shopping matters — the spread across books on a single prop usually runs 15–20 cents. Always take the top of the market.
When does this prop resolve?
Grades on the official box score after PHI @ WAS (scheduled for 6:46 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens decide whether a prop is worth betting?
We look at hit rate (last 10 and last 30), the full-season baseline, and how the prop is priced across seven books. We strip the vig to find a fair price and compare that to the best price available. If the offered price beats fair, we call it a lean. If not, we pass — and we pass a lot. A bad price is still a bad price, even when the player is on a run.