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Jesus Luzardo

Outs·Under 18.5·CWS @ PHI

6:41 PM ET

WagerLens Take

Is Jesus Luzardo Under 18.5 Outs a good bet at this number?

Lean Under

Jesus Luzardo has hit the under 18.5 in 5 of 5 recent games (100%). Lean under. Small sample — only 5 games of tracked data.

Best Over

+150· Pinnacle

Best Under

−203· Pinnacle

Updated 1h ago·Thin sample · 5 games·Methodology →

Jesus Luzardo vs 18.5: recent track record

Recent games for Jesus Luzardo outs vs line 18.5.

Recent games vs line

The hit rate breakdown

Over
EV -8.7%
Fresh 1h ago
L50%(0/5)
L1020%(2/10)
Under
EV -5.2%
Fresh 1h ago
L5100%(5/5)
L1080%(8/10)
Season100%(5/5)

Games Played

12

ERA

4.44

Outs L1

16

Outs Avg L3

17.333

Outs Avg L5

15.8

Outs Avg L7

17

Outs Avg L10

16.3

Outs Avg

16.75

Line movement on this prop

Line movement for both sides of the bet, plus best available over vs under over time.

Price history for the Over

Jesus Luzardo 19+ Outs

10 updates3 books tracked

Price history for the Under

Jesus Luzardo Under 18.5 Outs

7 updates2 books tracked

Best over vs best under for this line

Frequently asked

Is Jesus Luzardo Under 18.5 Outs a good bet at this number?

Jesus Luzardo has hit the under 18.5 in 5 of 5 recent games (100%). Lean under. Small sample — only 5 games of tracked data.

What is Jesus Luzardo's hit rate on this prop?

Jesus Luzardo went Under 18.5 in 5 of 5 tracked games — 100% at this line. That's one signal. We also check the season baseline and whether the current price beats our fair-value estimate.

What is the best price on Jesus Luzardo Under 18.5?

−203 at Pinnacle is the best we're seeing right now across seven books (DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, BetRivers, theScore Bet, Pinnacle). Line shopping matters — the spread across books on a single prop usually runs 15–20 cents. Always take the top of the market.

When does this prop resolve?

Grades on the official box score after CWS @ PHI (scheduled for 6:41 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.

How does WagerLens decide whether a prop is worth betting?

We look at hit rate (last 10 and last 30), the full-season baseline, and how the prop is priced across seven books. We strip the vig to find a fair price and compare that to the best price available. If the offered price beats fair, we call it a lean. If not, we pass — and we pass a lot. A bad price is still a bad price, even when the player is on a run.