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Jacob deGrom headshot

Jacob deGrom

Outs·Under 18.5·LAA @ TEX

8:06 PM ET

WagerLens Take

Is Jacob deGrom Under 18.5 Outs a good bet at this number?

Lean Under

Jacob deGrom has hit the under 18.5 in 6 of 7 recent games (86%). Lean under. Small sample — only 7 games of tracked data.

Best Over

+143· Caesars

Best Under

−186· DraftKings

Updated 47 min ago·Thin sample · 7 games·Methodology →

Jacob deGrom vs 18.5: recent track record

Recent games for Jacob deGrom outs vs line 18.5.

Recent games vs line

The hit rate breakdown

Over
EV -7.8%
Fresh 47 min ago
L520%(1/5)
L1020%(2/10)
Under
EV -4.2%
Fresh 47 min ago
L580%(4/5)
L1080%(8/10)
Season86%(6/7)

Games Played

17

ERA

3.52

Outs L1

21

Outs Avg L3

19

Outs Avg L5

18.6

Outs Avg L7

18

Outs Avg L10

17.4

Outs Avg

16.882

Line movement on this prop

Line movement for both sides of the bet, plus best available over vs under over time.

Price history for the Over

Jacob deGrom 19+ Outs

12 updates4 books tracked

Price history for the Under

Jacob deGrom Under 18.5 Outs

12 updates4 books tracked

Best over vs best under for this line

Frequently asked

Is Jacob deGrom Under 18.5 Outs a good bet at this number?

Jacob deGrom has hit the under 18.5 in 6 of 7 recent games (86%). Lean under. Small sample — only 7 games of tracked data.

What is Jacob deGrom's hit rate on this prop?

Jacob deGrom went Under 18.5 in 6 of 7 tracked games — 86% at this line. That's one signal. We also check the season baseline and whether the current price beats our fair-value estimate.

What is the best price on Jacob deGrom Under 18.5?

−186 at DraftKings is the best we're seeing right now across seven books (DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, BetRivers, theScore Bet, Pinnacle). Line shopping matters — the spread across books on a single prop usually runs 15–20 cents. Always take the top of the market.

When does this prop resolve?

Grades on the official box score after LAA @ TEX (scheduled for 8:06 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.

How does WagerLens decide whether a prop is worth betting?

We look at hit rate (last 10 and last 30), the full-season baseline, and how the prop is priced across seven books. We strip the vig to find a fair price and compare that to the best price available. If the offered price beats fair, we call it a lean. If not, we pass — and we pass a lot. A bad price is still a bad price, even when the player is on a run.