Skip to main content
Jacob deGrom headshot

Jacob deGrom

Outs·Under 18.5·TEX @ MIA

12:11 PM ET

WagerLens Take

Is Jacob deGrom Under 18.5 Outs a good bet at this number?

Lean Under

Jacob deGrom has hit the under 18.5 in 7 of 7 recent games (100%). Lean under. Small sample — only 7 games of tracked data.

Best Over

+127· DraftKings

Best Under

−169· DraftKings

Updated 9h ago·Thin sample · 7 games·Methodology →

Jacob deGrom vs 18.5: recent track record

Recent games for Jacob deGrom outs vs line 18.5.

Recent games vs line

The hit rate breakdown

Over
EV -
Fresh 9h ago
L50%(0/5)
L1020%(2/10)
Under
EV -
Fresh 9h ago
L5100%(5/5)
L1080%(8/10)
Season100%(7/7)

Games Played

15

ERA

3.64

Outs L1

18

Outs Avg L3

18

Outs Avg L5

17.4

Outs Avg L7

16.286

Outs Avg L10

17.2

Outs Avg

16.533

Line movement on this prop

Line movement for both sides of the bet, plus best available over vs under over time.

Price history for the Over

Over-side history by book is not available yet.

Price history for the Under

Under-side history by book is not available yet.

Best over vs best under for this line

Best over vs under history is not available for this line yet.

Frequently asked

Is Jacob deGrom Under 18.5 Outs a good bet at this number?

Jacob deGrom has hit the under 18.5 in 7 of 7 recent games (100%). Lean under. Small sample — only 7 games of tracked data.

What is Jacob deGrom's hit rate on this prop?

Jacob deGrom went Under 18.5 in 7 of 7 tracked games — 100% at this line. That's one signal. We also check the season baseline and whether the current price beats our fair-value estimate.

What is the best price on Jacob deGrom Under 18.5?

−169 at DraftKings is the best we're seeing right now across seven books (DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, BetRivers, theScore Bet, Pinnacle). Line shopping matters — the spread across books on a single prop usually runs 15–20 cents. Always take the top of the market.

When does this prop resolve?

Grades on the official box score after TEX @ MIA (scheduled for 12:11 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.

How does WagerLens decide whether a prop is worth betting?

We look at hit rate (last 10 and last 30), the full-season baseline, and how the prop is priced across seven books. We strip the vig to find a fair price and compare that to the best price available. If the offered price beats fair, we call it a lean. If not, we pass — and we pass a lot. A bad price is still a bad price, even when the player is on a run.