Brandon Pfaadt
Outs·Under 16.5·ARI @ STL
5:16 PM ET
Is Brandon Pfaadt Under 16.5 Outs a good bet at this number?
Brandon Pfaadt has hit the under 16.5 in 10 of 10 recent games (100%). Lean under. Small sample — only 10 games of tracked data.
Best Over
−114· FanDuel
Best Under
−110· BetMGM
Brandon Pfaadt vs 16.5: recent track record
Recent games for Brandon Pfaadt outs vs line 16.5.
Recent games vs line
The hit rate breakdown
Games Played
17
ERA
4.8
Outs L1
16
Outs Avg L3
15.667
Outs Avg L5
13.2
Outs Avg L7
10.857
Outs Avg L10
8.9
Outs Avg
10.412
Line movement on this prop
Line movement for both sides of the bet, plus best available over vs under over time.
Price history for the Over
Brandon Pfaadt 17+ Outs
Price history for the Under
Brandon Pfaadt Under 16.5 Outs
Best over vs best under for this line
Frequently asked
Is Brandon Pfaadt Under 16.5 Outs a good bet at this number?
Brandon Pfaadt has hit the under 16.5 in 10 of 10 recent games (100%). Lean under. Small sample — only 10 games of tracked data.
What is Brandon Pfaadt's hit rate on this prop?
Brandon Pfaadt went Under 16.5 in 10 of 10 tracked games — 100% at this line. That's one signal. We also check the season baseline and whether the current price beats our fair-value estimate.
What is the best price on Brandon Pfaadt Under 16.5?
−110 at BetMGM is the best we're seeing right now across seven books (DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, BetRivers, theScore Bet, Pinnacle). Line shopping matters — the spread across books on a single prop usually runs 15–20 cents. Always take the top of the market.
When does this prop resolve?
Grades on the official box score after ARI @ STL (scheduled for 5:16 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens decide whether a prop is worth betting?
We look at hit rate (last 10 and last 30), the full-season baseline, and how the prop is priced across seven books. We strip the vig to find a fair price and compare that to the best price available. If the offered price beats fair, we call it a lean. If not, we pass — and we pass a lot. A bad price is still a bad price, even when the player is on a run.