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Andrew Alvarez headshot

Andrew Alvarez

Outs·Under 14.5·WAS @ TB

1:41 PM ET

WagerLens Take

Is Andrew Alvarez Under 14.5 Outs a good bet at this number?

Worth a look, Under

Andrew Alvarez has hit the under 14.5 in 7 of 7 recent games (100%). WagerLens flags this market. Small sample — only 7 games of tracked data.

Best Over

−130· Pinnacle

Best Under

+124· FanDuel

Updated 22 min ago·Thin sample · 7 games·Methodology →

Andrew Alvarez vs 14.5: recent track record

Recent games for Andrew Alvarez outs vs line 14.5.

Recent games vs line

The hit rate breakdown

Over
EV +0.2%
Fresh 22 min ago
L50%(0/5)
L100%(0/10)
Under
EV -0.2%
Fresh 22 min ago
L5100%(5/5)
L1080%(8/10)
Season100%(7/7)

Games Played

8

ERA

3.61

Outs L1

12

Outs Avg L3

12.667

Outs Avg L5

10.2

Outs Avg L7

10.286

Outs Avg L10

10.625

Outs Avg

10.625

Line movement on this prop

Line movement for both sides of the bet, plus best available over vs under over time.

Price history for the Over

Andrew Alvarez 15+ Outs

53 updates7 books tracked

Price history for the Under

Andrew Alvarez Under 14.5 Outs

45 updates6 books tracked

Best over vs best under for this line

Frequently asked

Is Andrew Alvarez Under 14.5 Outs a good bet at this number?

Andrew Alvarez has hit the under 14.5 in 7 of 7 recent games (100%). WagerLens flags this market. Small sample — only 7 games of tracked data.

Why is this tagged worth a look?

WagerLens flags Under 14.5 outs.

What is Andrew Alvarez's hit rate on this prop?

Andrew Alvarez went Under 14.5 in 7 of 7 tracked games — 100% at this line. That's one signal. We also check the season baseline and whether the current price beats our fair-value estimate.

What is the best price on Andrew Alvarez Under 14.5?

+124 at FanDuel is the best we're seeing right now across seven books (DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, BetRivers, theScore Bet, Pinnacle). Line shopping matters — the spread across books on a single prop usually runs 15–20 cents. Always take the top of the market.

When does this prop resolve?

Grades on the official box score after WAS @ TB (scheduled for 1:41 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.

How does WagerLens decide whether a prop is worth betting?

We look at hit rate (last 10 and last 30), the full-season baseline, and how the prop is priced across seven books. We strip the vig to find a fair price and compare that to the best price available. If the offered price beats fair, we call it a lean. If not, we pass — and we pass a lot. A bad price is still a bad price, even when the player is on a run.