Aaron Nola
Outs·Under 17.5·PIT @ PHI
6:41 PM ET
Is Aaron Nola Under 17.5 Outs a good bet at this number?
Aaron Nola has hit the under 17.5 in 5 of 5 recent games (100%). Lean under. Small sample — only 5 games of tracked data.
Best Over
+110· BetMGM
Best Under
−127· Pinnacle
Aaron Nola vs 17.5: recent track record
Recent games for Aaron Nola outs vs line 17.5.
Recent games vs line
The hit rate breakdown
Games Played
16
ERA
5.76
Outs L1
15
Outs Avg L3
14.667
Outs Avg L5
14.4
Outs Avg L7
15
Outs Avg L10
14.8
Outs Avg
15.125
Line movement on this prop
Line movement for both sides of the bet, plus best available over vs under over time.
Price history for the Over
Aaron Nola 18+ Outs
Price history for the Under
Aaron Nola Under 17.5 Outs
Best over vs best under for this line
Frequently asked
Is Aaron Nola Under 17.5 Outs a good bet at this number?
Aaron Nola has hit the under 17.5 in 5 of 5 recent games (100%). Lean under. Small sample — only 5 games of tracked data.
What is Aaron Nola's hit rate on this prop?
Aaron Nola went Under 17.5 in 5 of 5 tracked games — 100% at this line. That's one signal. We also check the season baseline and whether the current price beats our fair-value estimate.
What is the best price on Aaron Nola Under 17.5?
−127 at Pinnacle is the best we're seeing right now across seven books (DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, BetRivers, theScore Bet, Pinnacle). Line shopping matters — the spread across books on a single prop usually runs 15–20 cents. Always take the top of the market.
When does this prop resolve?
Grades on the official box score after PIT @ PHI (scheduled for 6:41 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens decide whether a prop is worth betting?
We look at hit rate (last 10 and last 30), the full-season baseline, and how the prop is priced across seven books. We strip the vig to find a fair price and compare that to the best price available. If the offered price beats fair, we call it a lean. If not, we pass — and we pass a lot. A bad price is still a bad price, even when the player is on a run.