Aaron Nola
Outs·Under 17.5·PHI @ MIA
6:41 PM ET
Is Aaron Nola Under 17.5 Outs a good bet at this number?
Aaron Nola cleared the under 17.5 in their last game. Lean under. Small sample — only 10 games of tracked data.
Best Over
−110· BetMGM
Best Under
−120· BetMGM
Aaron Nola vs 17.5: recent track record
Recent games for Aaron Nola outs vs line 17.5.
Recent games vs line
The hit rate breakdown
Games Played
21
ERA
5.98
Outs L1
16
Outs Avg L3
16.333
Outs Avg L5
16.6
Outs Avg L7
16.143
Outs Avg L10
15.5
Outs Avg
15.476
Line movement on this prop
Line movement for both sides of the bet, plus best available over vs under over time.
Price history for the Over
Aaron Nola 18+ Outs
Price history for the Under
Aaron Nola Under 17.5 Outs
Best over vs best under for this line
Frequently asked
Is Aaron Nola Under 17.5 Outs a good bet at this number?
Aaron Nola cleared the under 17.5 in their last game. Lean under. Small sample — only 10 games of tracked data.
What is Aaron Nola's hit rate on this prop?
Aaron Nola went Under 17.5 in 8 of 10 tracked games — 80% at this line. That's one signal. We also check the season baseline and whether the current price beats our fair-value estimate.
What is the best price on Aaron Nola Under 17.5?
−120 at BetMGM is the best we're seeing right now across seven books (DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, BetRivers, theScore Bet, Pinnacle). Line shopping matters — the spread across books on a single prop usually runs 15–20 cents. Always take the top of the market.
When does this prop resolve?
Grades on the official box score after PHI @ MIA (scheduled for 6:41 PM ET). If the game's postponed, suspended, or doesn't become official, most books void the bet — your sportsbook's specific rules apply.
How does WagerLens decide whether a prop is worth betting?
We look at hit rate (last 10 and last 30), the full-season baseline, and how the prop is priced across seven books. We strip the vig to find a fair price and compare that to the best price available. If the offered price beats fair, we call it a lean. If not, we pass — and we pass a lot. A bad price is still a bad price, even when the player is on a run.